19.05 Newbury Ratings
129 Always Perfect
112 Silver Wraith
111 Distant Rumble
102 Raffles Angle
84 Mumayaz
80 Eightthreeone
79 Just Jump
74 Waistcoat
59 Phoenix Moon
TOP 5 HORSES DETAILED BREAKDOWN
Rank Horse Total Score Win Prob % Fair Odds Status Verdict Edge
1 Always Perfect 129.0 15.6 6.4 BET TOP PICK VALUE
2 Silver Wraith 112.0 13.5 7.4 BET Strong Contender VALUE
3 Distant Rumble 111.0 13.4 7.5 BET E/W Value VALUE
4 Raffles Angle 102.0 12.3 8.1 PASS Avoid CAUTION
5 Mumayaz 84.0 10.1 9.9 PASS Avoid CAUTION
KEY INSIGHTS & FINDINGS
Insight Category Finding Data Evidence Actionable Takeaway
1 CLEAR LEADER Always Perfect dominates metrics Score 129 vs next 112 (+15%) Strong confidence BET on #1
2 TOP 3 SEPARATION Top 3 clearly separated from field 111+ scores vs <102 for rest Focus bets on top 3 only
3 WIN PROBABILITY Top 3 have combined ~42% win prob 15.6% + 13.5% + 13.4% Value in multiple selections
4 PASS THRESHOLD 6 horses marked PASS (67%) Scores under 102 Avoid majority of field
5 VALUE GAP 38-point gap between BET/PASS avg 117.4 vs 79.7 BET selections are premium
6 FORM STRENGTH BET horses +83% better form 7.7 vs 4.2 form index Recent form validates picks
7 COMPETITIVE MIDDLE Middle pack closely bunched 79-84 score range Avoid mid-field value traps #
8 TAIL END Bottom horse significantly weaker Phoenix Moon score 59 Clear fade candidate
16.53 Southwell Ratings
169 Gunfighter
132 Dannick
125 Anthropologist
116 Avatar Jet
116 Timely Affair
113 Finn Ironside
105 Triggerman
104 Blazing Son
103 Fan Mail
101 Shamacid
94 Wish This
92 Red Mirage
73 Portman Blue
71 Pursuit Of Truth
WIN BET Gunfighter
Clear top-rated.
Strong in every category.
EW BET Anthropologist
Consistent, strong trainer, solid form.
PACE DANGER Avatar Jet
If pace collapses or sets up for front‑runners.
LAY / NO BET Dannick
High ability, poor suitability.
ANTHROPOLOGIST Best Value Bet
Insight Category Finding Data Evidence Actionable Takeaway
CLEAR LEADER Gunfighter dominates metrics Score 169 vs next 132 (+28%) Strong confidence BET on #1
TOP 3 SEPARATION Top 3 clearly separated from field 125+ scores vs <117 for rest Focus bets on top 3 only
WIN PROBABILITY Top 3 have combined ~28% win prob 11.2% + 8.7% + 8.2% Value in multiple selections
PASS THRESHOLD 9 horses marked PASS (64%) Scores under 116 Avoid majority of field
VALUE GAP 26-point gap between BET/PASS avg 131.5 vs 105.1 BET selections are premium
FORM STRENGTH BET horses +57% better form 6.3 vs 4.0 form index Recent form validates picks
COMPETITIVE FIELD Middle pack closely bunched 100-116 score range Avoid mid-field value traps
TAIL END Bottom 2 significantly weaker Scores <75 Clear fade candidate
14.25 Worcester Ratings
127 Axcel Bleue
125 Regal Renaissance
112 Gillon De Monty
107 Harrys Hope
97 Tiger Orchid
93 Mt Fugi Park
88 Court In A Storm
75 Gwash
45 Jaramillo
RPC WIN BET Axcel Bleue (Total 127)
Your note: 1st over C/D off 5lb less, Class 4 good hcp chase.
Why RPC makes him top-rated
Highest total rating (127)
Strong Course (6), Distance (5), Class (6), Going (5)
Very strong Form Last (10)
Strong Form (5)
Good Win Rate (7)
Strong Headgear (8)
Good Trainer % (7)
Strong Win Prob (8)
Performance (6) solid
Market Movers (4) positive
RPC E/W BET Regal Renaissance (Total 125)
Your note: 1st over 21f off 9lb less, Class 3 chase, now down in class.
Why RPC likes her
Strong Going (7)
Very strong Weighted Speed (7)
Excellent Wins (4) + Places (4)
Strong Form Last (10)
Strong Form (8)
Good Speed (6)
Strong Trainer % (5)
Trainer 14 (8) yard flying
Win Prob (8)
Down in class → major RPC positive
RPC Verdict
Class drop + strong form + high ratings = major danger.
RPC E/W SAVER
RPC VALUE BET Gillon De Monty (Total 112)
Your note: 2nd over C/D Class 4 off same mark, jockey takes off 5lb.
Why RPC likes him
Very strong Course (7)
Strong Distance (5)
Strong Going (7)
Good Weighted Speed (7)
Strong Form Last (8)
Good Form (4)
Strong Pace (6)
Jockey Course (2) but Jockey takes off 5lb → big RPC upgrade
Trainer % (7) strong
Trainer 14 (7) strong
Performance (5) solid
Axcel Bleue 1st over C/D off 5lb less, Class 4 good hcp chase
Regal Renaissance 1st over 21f off 9lb less, Class 3 chase, now down in class
Gillon De Monty 2nd over C/D Class 4 off same mark, jockey takes off 5lb
18.30 Wolverhampton Ratings
159 Eagle day
143 No Knee Never
140 Kaaranah
137 Bellasio
135 Dark Rosa
120 Pulsar Star
118 Imola
113 American State
95 look Back Smiling
91 Distinction
87 Caledonian
79 Concert Boy
66 Symphony Of Joy
Eagle Day RPC Rating: 159 (Top Rated)
Handicap Note: 1 lb below last C/D winning mark → major positive.
RPC Profile
Course 8 / Distance 5 / Class 9 elite suitability
Weighted Speed 5 / Speed 9 strong speed base
Wins 5 / Places 6 / Win Rate 8 reliable strike profile
Headgear 9 / Fitness 7 tuned and ready
Form Last 9 peak condition
Draw 5 / Pace 7 tactically strong
Trainer 14 = 8 yard in form
Explosive 6 / Market Movers 5 positive signals
RPC Verdict
Eagle Day is top-rated, well‑treated at the weights, and arrives in peak form.
The combination of mark, pace, and form makes him the most likely winner.
RPC WIN BET
No Knee Never RPC Rating: 143 (2nd Rated)
Handicap Note: 3rd off same mark over 1m gd/fm → mark is workable.
RPC Profile
Weighted Speed 5 / Speed 3 not elite but consistent
Wins 4 / Places 4 / Win Rate 9 excellent strike rate
Headgear 10 / Fitness 9 very strong
Form Last 3 / Form 6 solid
Pace 6 / Jockey % 5 / Trainer % 7 strong human factors
Trainer 14 = 10 yard absolutely flying
Explosive 8 / Market Movers 4 strong signals
RPC Verdict
No Knee Never is the main danger.
Strong trainer form, strong win rate, and a fair mark make him a serious threat.
RPC E/W BET
Kaaranah RPC Rating: 140 (3rd Rated)
Handicap Note: On last C/D winning mark with apprentice allowance → big positive.
RPC Profile
Course 8 / Distance 4 / Class 1 course specialist
Weighted Speed 6 / Speed 8 strong speed
Wins 4 / Places 4 / Win Rate 8 reliable
Headgear 5 / Fitness 4 solid
Form Last 5 / Form 8 strong recent form
Pace 6 / Jockey % 7 good tactical profile
Trainer 14 = 7 yard in form
Explosive 5 / Market Movers 3 neutral
RPC Verdict
Kaaranah is well‑weighted, has course form, and gets a valuable apprentice allowance.
He is the correct value angle.
Bellasio RPC Rating: 137 (4th Rated)
Handicap Note: 2 lb above last C/D winning mark → slightly tougher task.
RPC Profile
Course 5 / Distance 4 / Class 3 solid
Weighted Speed 5 / Speed 4 competitive
Wins 3 / Places 3 / Win Rate 3 modest strike profile
Headgear 9 / Fitness 6 positive
Form Last 5 / Form 6 consistent
Pace 8 / Jockey % 8 strong tactical setup
Trainer 14 = 5 stable OK
Explosive 6 / Market Movers 6 positive signals
RPC Verdict
Bellasio is consistent and tactically strong but slightly above his last winning mark.
Place claims only.
RPC Place Potential
19.00 Beverley Ratings
139 Level Up
136 Great
133 Beerwah
120 Dream Deal
116 Bidendum
112 Toptime
112 Dandy Dinmont
103 Hurt You Never
79 Opal Storm
61 Dc Cogent
Level Up RPC Rating: 139 (Top Rated)
Profile:
Level Up brings the strongest overall rating in the field.
Your numbers show a horse with elite consistency, strong speed, and excellent form stability.
Key RPC factors:
Weighted Speed 8 one of the best in the race
Wins 7 / Places 5 / Win Rate 6 reliable strike profile
Speed 7 competitive at this level
Form Last 8 / Form 8 peak condition
Pace 9 major tactical advantage
Trainer 14 = 6 yard in solid form
Form Strength Index 6 beating good horses recently
RPC Verdict:
Top-rated, strong pace, strong form, strong speed.
RPC WIN BET
He sets the standard and is the most likely winner.
Great RPC Rating: 136 (2nd Rated)
Profile:
Great is extremely close to Level Up and has a powerful class/speed profile.
Key RPC factors:
Class 8 excels at this level
Weighted Speed 8 matches Level Up
Speed 8 one of the fastest in the race
Form Last 10 elite recent run
Pace 8 strong tactical position
Trainer 14 = 10 yard absolutely flying
Trainer % = 7 stable in form
Win Prob 8 high model confidence
RPC Verdict:
Massive danger to the favourite.
RPC E/W BET
If Level Up underperforms, Great is the one who picks up the pieces.
Great RPC Rating: 136 (2nd Rated)
Profile:
Great is extremely close to Level Up and has a powerful class/speed profile.
Key RPC factors:
Class 8 excels at this level
Weighted Speed 8 matches Level Up
Speed 8 one of the fastest in the race
Form Last 10 elite recent run
Pace 8 strong tactical position
Trainer 14 = 10 yard absolutely flying
Trainer % = 7 stable in form
Win Prob 8 high model confidence
RPC Verdict:
Massive danger to the favourite.
RPC E/W BET
If Level Up underperforms, Great is the one who picks up the pieces.
Beerwah RPC Rating: 133 (3rd Rated)
Profile:
Beerwah is the value horse in the race.
Your ratings show a horse with strong form and excellent headgear impact.
Key RPC factors:
Headgear 8 major positive
Form Last 10 / Form 7 excellent consistency
Trainer % = 8 stable in form
Trainer 14 = 6 yard running well
Speed 6 / Weighted Speed 6 competitive
Win Rate 6 reliable
Pace 5 enough tactical speed
RPC Verdict:
Strong form, strong headgear, strong stable.
RPC VALUE BET
Likely to be overpriced relative to ability.
Dream Deal RPC Rating: 120 (4th Rated)
Profile:
Dream Deal is a solid mid‑range contender with a few standout positives.
Key RPC factors:
Headgear 7 positive
Fitness 8 very fit
Speed 6 competitive
Form 6 reliable
Jockey % = 8 strong rider uplift
Trainer 14 = 7 yard in form
RPC Verdict:
Not as complete as the top three but capable of running into the places.
RPC Place Potential
6.43 Redcar Ratings
129 Baldosa
114 Harswell River
108 Sahm Naif
94 Talking In Kode
86 Diamond Aura
79 Secret Testimoney
53 Speckled Brown
51 Skirt Around
51 Bobbyys Pride
Form Guide
Summary
Baldosa has the best blend of form, speed, pace, and stable strength.
A clear top-rated contender.
Harswell River Total 114
A very solid and reliable profile.
Sahm Naif Total 108
A strong mid‑range contender with upside.
BEST WIN BET Baldosa (129)
Baldosa is the most complete horse in the race:
Best form combination
Strong speed + weighted speed
Strong pace
Strong trainer/jockey metrics
Excellent short‑term index
Positive market signals
He is the correct WIN selection.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET Harswell River (114)
Harswell River is the safest EW structure:
Strong form
Strong pace
Strong jockey %
Consistent across all categories
No major weaknesses
He is the correct EW saver.
BEST VALUE BET Sahm Naif (108)
Sahm Naif is the value angle because:
Elite Form Last (10)
Strong speed
Strong draw
Strong trainer %
Very close to Harswell River but likely a bigger price
He is the correct VALUE play.
17.45 Curragh Ratings
144 Happy Henry
141 Namild
140 Focaccia
132 Sovereign Cry
131 Tawaazon
129 Harry`s Hill
127 Real Encounter
113 Mary Shoelaces
112 Carrigans Grove
105 Apache Outlaw
105 Imperial Dream
102 Daneh Of Dandy
100 Nouvel Espoir
91 Final Melody
88 Imperial Dream
76 Lamar Canyon
67 Absolutassignment
63 Nebrook Star
1. Happy Henry Total 144
Profile:
Happy Henry is the strongest horse in the race by a clear margin.
Outstanding Course (10) and Distance (8)
Very strong Going (7)
Excellent Headgear (10)
Strong Speed (6) + Weighted Speed (5)
Elite Form Last (10) and Form (10)
Good Pace (3)
Very strong Jockey % (8) + Trainer % (8)
Strong Trainer 14 Days (7)
Solid Explosive (4)
Summary:
A complete profile. Handles conditions, has form, has speed, has stable/jockey strength.
Clear top-rated.
Namild Total 141
Profile:
Namild is extremely strong and close to Happy Henry.
Excellent Course (7) + Distance (10)
Strong Going (5)
Very strong Weighted Speed (8)
Excellent Speed (12) (highest in the field)
Strong Form Last (8) + Form (7)
Good Pace (9)
Strong Trainer % (7)
Excellent Trainer 14 Days (10)
Solid Explosive (5)
Summary:
Huge speed figure, strong recent form, and a hot yard.
Major danger to the favourite.
Focaccia Total 140
Profile:
Focaccia is extremely consistent and well-balanced.
Excellent Course (7) + Distance (10)
Strong Going (7)
Very strong Weighted Speed (8)
Strong Speed (8)
Elite Form Last (10)
Strong Form (7)
Good Pace (9)
Strong Trainer % (7)
Good Trainer 14 Days (7)
Solid Explosive (5)
Summary:
Very reliable profile. Strong form, strong speed, strong pace.
Rock-solid EW contender.
Sovereign Cry Total 132
Profile:
Sovereign Cry is a strong, improving type.
Good Course (7) + Distance (8)
Strong Going (6)
Very strong Speed (10)
Elite Form Last (10)
Good Form (5)
Solid Pace (5)
Strong Trainer % (7)
Good Trainer 14 Days (8)
Explosive (2) is low but acceptable
Summary:
Strong form and speed, but slightly less complete than the top three.
A live contender for places.
14.45 Wolverhampton Ratings
112 Heirarchy
102 Twilight Madness
90 Monsieur Kodi
86 Far Too Fizzy
85 King Of Chaos
83 Akabusi
76 Obsidian Verse
71 Veydati
63 Nebbia
63 Red Snapper
60 yachtsman
49 Veil Of Clouds
43 Fifty Nifty
Form Guide
WIN BET Heirarchy (Total: 112)
Heirarchy is the strongest overall profile and your comments confirm he is well‑treated on a good handicap mark.
Why Heirarchy is the top win selection
Total: 112 highest in the field
Very strong Wins (6) + Places (7)
Good Win Rate (5)
Strong Speed
Solid Form (4) + Form Last (1)
Good Pace (2) and Short‑Term Index (4)
Trainer 14 Days = 11 yard absolutely flying
Trainer % = 8 stable in form
Your comment: Hierarchy on a good HCP mark, form a Class 4 at Lingfield over 6f.
→ This confirms he is well‑weighted, proven at the trip, and competitive at this level.
Heirarchy has the strongest combination of current form, stable form.
E/W Saver Twilight Madness (Total: 102)
Twilight Madness is extremely solid and your mark comment strengthens the case.
Why Twilight Madness is the EW saver
Total: 102
Strong Course (4) + Distance (6) + Class (7)
Very good Wins + Places
Strong Win Rate (6)
Good Headgear (6)
Very strong Pace (9)
Trainer 14 Days = 10 yard in form
Your comment: Twilight Madness is only 1 lb above its last C/D handicap mark.
→ This is a major positive: proven at course/distance, still well‑weighted, and competitive.
Twilight Madness is the safest EW structure in the race.
Value Saver Monsieur Kodi (Total: 90)
Monsieur Kodi is the horse the market will underrate, but your mark comment makes him a value play.
Why Monsieur Kodi is the value angle
Total: 90
Strong Distance (6) + Class (5)
Very good Places (6)
Strong Speed (7)
Good Form (7)
Solid Pace
Trainer % = 5 stable OK
Your comment:
Monsieur Kodi is only 1 lb above last winning mark in a Class 4 at Lingfield, down in class today, not drawn well only problem.
Far Too Fizzy 86
Good distance figure and strong pace. Trainer 14 Days = 9. Not as complete as top three but capable of running well.
King Of Chaos 85
Solid class and going profile. Good fitness and speed. Trainer % = 4. Needs improvement to threaten main trio.
Akabusi 83
Strong class (7) and distance (5). Good speed. Trainer 14 Days = 8. Not consistent enough but has upside.
Obsidian Verse 76
Strong class and places Good pace. Trainer 14 Days = 8. Needs more overall balance.
Veydati 71
Strong weighted speed Good pace (10). Trainer 14 Days = 7. Lacks consistency in form.
Nebbia 63
Strong form last and form (4). Good jockey % (4). Needs more speed and class.
Red Snapper 63
Strong headgear (5) and pace (5). Trainer 14 Days = 6. Not enough class or speed.
Yachtsman 60
Strong pace (7). Good headgear Trainer 14 Days = 6. Weak class and speed.
Veil Of Clouds 49
Good speed (4) and form (2). Trainer 14 Days = 5. Not competitive at this level.
Fifty Nifty 43
Strong class Good speed . Trainer 14 Days = 8. Lacks consistency and depth.