15th May York Ratings
131 Old Is Gold
127 Naana`s Shadow
126 Kinnalargy
121 Desert Treasure
120 Schrodinger`s cat
119 Hanney Girl
117 Stargazed
117 Entailed
117 Arduis Invicta
116 Eternal Solace
113 Nuevo Slovo
113 Chairmanfortimes
100 Storm Esme
97 Shes Got A Brother
90 Call Margot
89 Believeinmenow
88 Sir Alfie
74 Fortification
62 Van Trotter
WIN BET — Old Is Gold (131)
Old Is Gold brings the strongest winning profile into the race. His total of 131 tops the field, and he combines strong going suitability (7), excellent speed (12), and a high short‑term index (14) that signals he’s peaking at the right time. His trainer % (12) and performance score (😎 add further confidence, and the explosive score (😎 suggests there’s still improvement to come. Not a standout on early-season form, but the numbers say he’s the one they all have to beat.
Verdict: Most likely winner — strongest all‑round profile in the race.
⭐ EACH‑WAY BET — Naana’s Shadow (127)
Naana’s Shadow shapes as the most reliable each‑way option. His total of 127 puts him firmly in the top bracket, and he brings a balanced profile: strong form (10), good consistency, and a high short‑term index (10). His pace (😎 and trainer % (9) are solid, and the explosive score (7) shows he’s capable of finding more. Not quite the class of Old Is Gold, but extremely dependable and likely to be in the shake‑up.
Verdict: Rock‑solid EW play — consistent, reliable, and well‑rated.
⭐ VALUE BET — Kinnalargy (126)
Kinnalargy is the standout value angle. Despite a slightly lower total of 126, he has strong underlying ratings: excellent speed (15), high short‑term index (14), and a strong pace figure (9). His trainer % (10) is a big positive, and the explosive score (6) suggests he’s still improving. The market is unlikely to respect him as much as the numbers do — which makes him the value.
Verdict: Under‑the‑radar improver — overpriced relative to true chance.
🟦 THE REST OF THE FIELD (IN THE SAME STYLE)
Desert Treasure (121)
Desert Treasure brings a total of 121 with strong form (10), good going suitability, and a solid short‑term index (10). Trainer % (13) is a big positive. Lacks the punch of the top three but consistent enough to get involved.
Verdict: Solid type — place claims if things fall right.
Schrodinger’s Cat (120)
A total of 120 backed by strong form (9), excellent speed (9), and a high short‑term index (11). Trainer % (6) is a slight concern, but the explosive score (9) is eye‑catching. Needs a clean run.
Verdict: Capable — dangerous if the race sets up for him.
Hanney Girl (119)
Hanney Girl posts 119 with strong speed (😎, good form, and a high short‑term index (11). Trainer % (😎 is solid. Not flashy but very dependable.
Verdict: Honest performer — minor each‑way interest.
Stargazed (117)
Stargazed brings 117 with strong speed (14) and a high short‑term index (14). Form is patchy and consistency questionable. Has the engine but not always the application.
Verdict: In‑and‑out type — risky but not dismissed.
Entailed (117)
A total of 117 with good form (6), strong trainer % (😎, and a decent pace figure. Lacks the class of the top half but runs to his mark.
Verdict: Reliable — could sneak a place.
Arduis Invicta (117)
Another on 117, with strong speed (11), good form (4), and a high short‑term index (12). Trainer % (5) is a negative. Needs things to fall right.
Verdict: Capable but inconsistent — outside chance.
Eternal Solace (116)
Eternal Solace posts 116 with strong form (6), good speed (7), and a decent short‑term index (10). Trainer % (9) is a plus.
Verdict: Not out of it — place possibilities.
Nuevo Slovo (113)
A total of 113 with strong trainer % (15) and good form. Lacks pace and consistency.
Verdict: Needs improvement — fringe player.
Chairmanfortimes (113)
Chairmanfortimes brings 113 with strong speed (13) and a high trainer % (14). Negative jockey course stat (-14) is a concern.
Verdict: Has ability — but risky.
Storm Esme (100)
A total of 100 with decent form and pace. Lacks class and consistency.
Verdict: Needs a big step forward.
Shes Got A Brother (97)
A total of 97 with some form positives but weak overall profile.
Verdict: Hard to fancy.
Call Margot (90)
A total of 90 with limited positives.
Verdict: Opposable.
Believeinmenow (89)
A total of 89 with weak consistency and limited upside.
Verdict: Unlikely to feature.
Sir Alfie (88)
A total of 88 with some form but not enough class.
Verdict: Needs everything to fall right.
Fortification (74)
A total of 74 — outclassed.
Verdict: No appeal.
Van Trotter (62)
A total of 62 — lowest in the field.
14.20 York Ratings
166 Corolla Point
165 Brazen Bolt
157 Luna A Inbhir Nis
155 Air Force One
144 Arklow Lad
143 Eternal Sunshine
140 Copper Magic
137 Ziggy`s Triton
133 Hammer The Hammer
127 Sturlasson
114 Stormy Impact
113 Redorange
113 Bergerac
111 I`m Next
111 Against The Wind
96 Jakajaro
90 Lethal Nymph
83 Heavenley Heather
77 Sports Coach
75 Squealer
68 Toca Madera
48 Blinky
TOP RATED — COROLLA POINT (166)
Corolla Point brings the strongest winning profile into the race. His total of 166 tops the field, and he combines strong going suitability, excellent win rate (15), and a high short‑term index (13) that signals peak condition. His explosive score (7) and market move (7) show confidence behind him, and the form figures (8) confirm he’s holding his level. Everything in the numbers points to a big run.
Verdict: The standout on ratings — the most likely winner.
SECOND BEST — BRAZEN BOLT (165)
Brazen Bolt shapes as the most reliable each‑way option. His total of 165 is just behind the top-rated, and he brings a rock‑solid profile: strong class, excellent consistency, and a high trainer percentage (15). His form (6) and speed (5) are dependable, and the explosive score (6) suggests he’s still capable of finding more. Not quite the powerhouse that Corolla Point is, but extremely solid and likely to be in the finish.
Verdict: Rock‑solid EW play — consistent, reliable, and well‑rated.
VALUE PLAY — LUNA A INBHIR NIS (157)
Luna A Inbhir Nis is the standout value angle. Despite a slightly lower total of 157, he has strong underlying ratings: excellent class and going figures, a big win rate (14), and a strong form rating (9). His short‑term index (9) shows he’s trending the right way, and the market movers (7) suggest he’s been underestimated. The profile is far better than the likely price.
Verdict: Under‑the‑radar improver — overpriced relative to true chance.
14.55 York Ratings
192 Binhareer
173 Desert Falcon
164 Fahrenheit Seven
151 Sandad
150 Pilgrim
140 Tuco Saamanca
137 Fast Track Harry
121 American Style
118 Fandom
118 Strike Red
114 Pocklington
108 We never Stop
103 Tropical Storm
103 Indian Run
102 Rousing Encore
99 Dark Thirty
97 Dark Cloud Rising
87 Wicket Keeper
84 Russet Gold
79 Woven
78 Kylian
77 Sir Yashi
BEST BET — BINHAREER (192)
Why Binhareer is the standout
Top total rating by a mile (192)
Huge Class score (13)
Massive Win Rate (13)
Strong Form Last (10)
Strong Draw (11)
Trainer 14 = 6 (stable going well)
Market Movers = 3 (neutral but not negative)
Explosive = 9 (solid spike potential)
No weaknesses anywhere
This is the clearest top‑rated horse you’ve had in weeks
VALUE BET — DESERT FALCON (173)
Why Desert Falcon is the value
2nd highest total (173)
Very strong Class (15)
Strong Win Rate (15)
Strong Form Last (8)
Good Draw (12)
Trainer 14 = 7 (yard in form)
Explosive = 7 (enough to run above mark)
Market Movers = 8 (big positive signal)
Likely to be a bigger price than Binhareer
This is the classic Rossendale value angle:
High rating + strong signals + bigger price.
OUTSIDER E/W VALUE BET — FAST TRACK HARRY (137)
✔ Why Fast Track Harry is the correct outsider EW pick
1. Stronger than his total suggests (137)
He sits mid‑pack on totals, but several of his sub‑ratings are way above his overall score.
2. Big positives in the right places
Distance = 13 (one of the best in the field)
Places = 11 (very consistent)
Win Rate = 11 (excellent for an outsider)
Fitness = 6 (solid)
Trainer 14 = 9 (yard in form)
Market Movers = 5 (quiet but not negative)
3. Strong EW profile
He’s the type that runs on, stays the trip, and rarely throws in a shocker.
16.00 Beverley Ratings
126 Without Flow
123 Glory Hyde
116 Hover On The Wind
111 Miss Brazen
109 Jo Jo Rabbit
91 Fuji Mountain
78 Dandy Dinmont
72 Dark Kestral
69 Tonjen
67 Sherlock
BEST BET — WITHOUT FLOW (126)
Why:
Top-rated on your model
Strong Short-Term Index (8) — running well right now
Good Fitness (8)
Solid C/D profile
Market Movers: 8 — strong positive sign
Trainer 14: 8 — yard in form
Explosive: 8 — not huge, but enough to show a spike is possible
No major negatives in any category
Rossendale-style verdict:
“Clear top on the numbers. Solid profile, stable form, and the market agrees. Best Bet.”
E/W VALUE BET — GLORY HYDE (123)
Why:
2nd highest rating in the race
Very strong Form Last (10) — consistently running well
Good Draw (5)
Trainer 14: 7 — stable going well
Explosive: 6 — enough to run above mark
Performance Score: 8 — reliable
Likely bigger price than Without Flow → value angle
Rossendale-style verdict:
“Solid numbers across the board, consistent, and overpriced on the tissue. Each-way value.”
18.17 Windsor Ratings
130 Diligentley
127 Under The Twilight
122 Badri
103 Zoulu Chief
85 Change Sings
84 Purest Time
83 Desert Cop
60 Carbine Harvester
59 An Outlaw`s Grace
0 Photosynthesis
0 Accrual
TOP RATED — DILIGENTLEY (130)
Profile:
Strong across all major categories
High Weighted Speed
Excellent Form + Fitness
Short‑Term Index: 10
Jockey %: 8
Trainer %: 4
Win Prob: 10
RPC View:
“Top of the shop. Strongest numbers. Hard to knock.”
SECOND BEST — UNDER THE TWILIGHT (127)
Profile:
Very consistent across the board
High Wins/Places profile
Strong Jockey % (10)
Good Form + Speed
Short‑Term Index: 8
RPC View:
“Reliable. Solid. The main danger to the jolly.”
Profile:
High Class + Distance figures
Strong Speed + Form
Short‑Term Index: 10
Explosive: 9
Market Movers: 5
RPC View:
“Big run in him. Strong numbers. Not one to leave out.”
16.00 Catterick Ratings
113 Golden prosperity
106 Irish Dancer
97 Lady Bouquet
96 Soul Seeker
95 Newyorkstateofmind
79 Ninety Nine
68 Siviez
53 Monticrisco Boy
51 Aurora`s Doublesix
39 Hi Ho Tonto
33 Hyrcanian
TOP RATED — GOLDEN PROSPERITY (113)
Profile:
Strongest overall figure in the race
High weighted speed
Consistent form
Solid trainer/jockey percentages
Short‑Term Index: 11
Speed Projection: 93
RPC View:
“Rock‑solid. Numbers bang on. Hard to knock. Sets the standard.”
SECOND BEST — IRISH DANCER (106)
Profile:
Big speed projection (91)
High ability ratings
Form strength strong
Momentum volatile
Short‑Term Index: 8
RPC View:
“Dangerous. Can throw in a monster. Can throw in a stinker. Not one to leave out.”
VALUE PLAY — NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND (95)
Profile:
Best Short‑Term Index in the field (12)
Big jockey uplift
Improving fast
Speed Projection: 83
RPC View:
“Improver. Numbers trending up. Could outrun the odds.”
15.15 Cork Ratings
96 Lady Bluebird
89 Bearami Creek
83 Silent Selector
81 Jay Pee M
80 Fairyland Opera
80 Eastmore
69 Minority Intrest
68 Nothing Hectic
64 Somersby Roost
54 Galavanting George
35 Mount Ferne
34 Under Cover
33 Liceo
22 Bop Wont Stop
BEST WIN BET — Lady Bluebird
Why:
Total = 96 (highest in race)
Explosive = 11 (highest in race)
Market Movers = 8 (strong)
Speed = 8
Form = 10
Win Prob = highest in field
This is the only horse with a complete profile.
WIN BET: Lady Bluebird
BEST E/W BET — Bearami Creek
Why:
Total = 89
Explosive = 10
Market Movers = 6
Speed = 10
Form = 5
Win Prob = mid‑range
This is the most consistent improver with a strong chance of placing.
E/W BET: Bearami Creek
BEST VALUE BET — Eastmore
Why:
Total = 80
Explosive = 10
Market Movers = 7
Form = 8
Speed = 9
Win Prob = low → VALUE
This is the classic undervalued improver your model loves.
VALUE BET: Eastmore
LONGSHOT E/W BET — Silent Selector
Why:
Total = 83
Explosive = 9
Market Movers = 4
Speed = 6
Form = 5
Win Prob = low
Speed Ratio = negative → hidden run
This is the danger horse at a price.
LONGSHOT E/W BET: Silent Selector
Lady Bluebird — ★ Top Rated / Strong Chance
Total: 96 | Explosive: 11 | Market Move: 8 | Speed: 8 | Form: 10
The standout on ratings. Strong speed and form figures, backed by a big explosive score and a positive market signal. Win probability highest in the field. Handles conditions and has tactical pace.
Verdict: Leading contender — the one they all have to beat.
Bearami Creek — ★ Reliable EW Player
Total: 89 | Explosive: 10 | Market Move: 6 | Speed: 10
Strong speed figure and a big explosive score. Market support is solid and consistency is fair. Win rate low but places often.
Verdict: Solid each‑way profile — should be in the mix late.
Silent Selector — ★ Hidden Improver / Longshot Danger
Total: 83 | Explosive: 9 | Market Move: 4 | Speed Ratio: negative
Not obvious on totals but the improver signals are strong. Negative speed rati
o suggests a hidden run last time. Good pace figure and enough ability to outrun odds.
Verdict: Live longshot — capable of sneaking into the frame.
15.25 Nottingham Ratings
117 Asteverdi
114 Orangeandlemons
109 Port Erin
105 Youarenotforgiven
105 Barry`s Boy
103 Helm Rock
100 Principality
98 Leadenhall
87 Deggle
87 Aspull
81 Winston Warrior
59 Tiger
54 Intrusively
Best WIN bet
Asteverdi
Total: 117 (highest in race)
Win Prob: 8
Explosive: 8
Form Strength: 43
Momentum: 7
Strong top rating + solid win chance + good energy profile → clear win play.
Best E/W bet
Orangeandlemons
Total: 114 (just behind top)
Win Prob: 9
Explosive: 6
Form Last: 10
Stamina / Pace solid
Very solid overall without being the absolute top—classic EW profile with strong place chance.
Best VALUE bet
Principality
Total: 100 (not top, but competitive)
Weighted Ability: 87
Form Strength: 65 (standout)
Explosive: 10
Momentum: 6
Market Movers: 6
Huge underlying ability + big Form Strength + high Explosive, but not priced like the top of the market
Okay, so Asteverdi seems like the best win bet with the highest total (117), good momentum, and explosive speed. For the each-way bet, Orangeandlemons stands out with a solid total of 114, good win probability, and decent momentum. Principality, despite a lower total (100), has strong underlying ratings, especially in form strength (65) and win probability (9), making it a good value bet. I’ll go with Asteverdi for win, Orangeandlemons for E/W, and Principality for value.
13.30 Chester Ratings
76 Cannon`s House
73 Arklow Lad
71 Dapper Valley
70 Smart Vision
70 Vintage Clarets
65 Roman Dragon
61 Ruby`s Profit
56 Atomic Force
53 Seven Questions
49 Stratusnine
48 Dubai Bling
34 Roach Power
🏆 Cannon’s House
Total = 127 (top rated)
Improvement Score = 76 (highest in field)
Explosive Score = 6
Speed = 8
Form = 8
Constancy = 5
Pace = 9
Trainer % = 7
Speed Ratio = +6 (positive = exposed ability)
Win Prob = strong (AZ2)
This is the most complete profile:
Top total + top improver + top speed + top form + top pace.
This is your WIN BET
Arklow Lad
Why:
Total = 121
Improvement Score = 73
Explosive Score = 6
Speed = 7
Form = 10
Constancy = 4
Pace = 3
Speed Ratio = +5
Market Movers = 6
This is the classic solid improver + strong form + strong speed profile that places very often.
This is your E/W BET.
Dapper Valley
Why:
Improvement Score = 71
Explosive Score = 7
Speed = 9
Form = 10
Constancy = 9
Speed Ratio = +7
Market Movers = 8
Win Prob = low → VALUE
Total = 119 (undervalued)
This is the exact profile of your big‑priced improvers:
15.40 Chester Ratings
85 Temple Of Athena
83 Go Vince Go
75 Alaminos
64 Watcha Snoop
61 Tricky Tel
59 Ruby`s Angel
55 Do Bronxs
47 Star Material
44 Angel Love
39 Arduis Invicta
39 Evi Ross
34 Cherry Baker
1st — Temple Of Athena
Total: 137
Improvement Value: 85
Profile:
Highest total score in the field
Strong speed + form combination
Good going suitability
Reliable constancy
Strong win probability
No major weaknesses
Verdict:
The clearest win profile in the race.
1st — Go Vince Go
Total: 135
Improvement Value: 83
Profile Strengths:
Very high consistency
Strong stability
Good going suitability
Reliable place profile
Strong improvement score
Low‑risk E/W shape
Verdict:
The most solid E/W horse in the race — extremely dependable.
Alaminos
Total: 124
Improvement Value: 75
Why it’s value:
Strong going suitability
Good consistency
Enough improvement to outperform its odds
Market likely prices it bigger than its true chance
Verdict:
The best mid‑price value horse.
14.30 Ayr Ratings
126 Canaria Queen
124 Harb
87 Ski Angel
76 Royal Duke
74 Little Mi Mi
64 Wee Mary
63 Tommy McJohn
60 Fear And Fast
55 Keep The Gold
Canaria Queen — Total 126 Win Bet
Distance: 8
Class: 7
Weighted Speed: 8
Wins/Places: 6 & 8
Form: 9
Speed: 6
Trainer %: 8
Improvement Score: 6
Explosive Score: 3
Market Move: 8
Ski Angel — Total 87
This sits in your model’s E/W band (75–95) and has the right shape.
Why your model likes her:
Course: 4
Distance: 7
Class: 5
Going: 8
C/D: 4
Wins/Places: 6 & 5
Form: 5
Improvement Score: 3
Explosive Score: 2
Market Move: 6
She’s not top‑rated, but she’s consistent, suited, and has upside — exactly the profile your model uses for E/W‑type runners.
Harb — Total 124
He’s extremely close to the top rating but often doesn’t get the same market respect.
Why your model flags him as a value‑shaped profile:
Course: 5
Distance: 7
Class: 5
Going: 4
Weighted Speed: 9
C/D: 5
Form: 8
Trainer %: 8
Improvement Score: 8
Explosive Score: 2
Market Move: 7
This is the exact pattern your model used to identify Genesis earlier:
high rating + strong profile + not the top horse = value shape.
Genisis was a 8/1 winner yesterday at the Curragh,
17.20 Curragh Ratings
114 Jered Maddox
101 Jon Riggins
95 Genesis
95 Send Harry
91 Tai Tam Bay
90 Masked Angel
86 I`m Spartacus
86 Rappell
84 Imperial Dreams
84 Iff In Doudt
81 This Guy
74 Reposado
73 Four Blondes
69 Platino Bianco
67 Blue Anthem
48 Green Icon
46 Hugo`s Girl
46 The Love Machine
41 Oppenheimer
31 Amerilis
Jered Maddox — Total 114
Why he ranks #1:
Highest Total in the field
Strong Weighted Speed (11)
Strong Form (10)
Strong Trainer % (11)
Strong Improvement Score (10)
Massive Market Move (15)
Positive Explosive Score (1)
Good Wins/Places profile
This is the most complete profile in the race.
Win Bet
Tai Tam Bay — Total 91
He sits in the classic “E/W band” of your model (88–95).
Why he fits the profile:
Good Distance (1)
Strong Speed (11)
Good Form (7)
Good Pace (4)
Good Trainer % (9)
Positive Explosive Score (1)
Positive Market Move (10)
He’s not top‑rated, but he’s solid across the board and has upside.
Genesis — Total 95
He’s close to the top group but typically goes off at a bigger price.
Why your model flags him as VALUE:
Strong Distance (6)
Very strong Speed (13)
Strong Form (8)
Strong Speed/Going (9)
Strong Trainer % (12)
Strong Improvement Score (8)
Good Market Move (11)
He’s not far behind Jon Riggins (101) and Send Harry (95), but his profile suggests he’s often under‑bet relative to his ability.
Newmarket 15.35 Ratings
162 Precise
147 Venetian Sun
147 True Love
135 Darn Hot Gallop
121 Evolutionist
119 Touleen
110 My Highness
107 Timeforshocasing
105 Azleet
99 Inis Mor
96 The Prettiest Star
86 Spicy Marg
79 Mubasimah
76 Abashiri
71 Domina Ignis
71 True Test
70 Rose Ghaiyyath
68 Silenciosa
65 Venetian Lace
Precise leads by a clear margin and shows balanced strengths (speed, form, jockey/trainer/course), so it’s the clean win pick.
Venetian Sun and True Love are tied on Total and both show solid place potential — good each‑way targets.
Darn Hot Gallop sits below the top two but has specific strengths (speed/going, trainer/course pockets) that make it a value play if the market price is generous.
17.00 Hamilton Ratings
147 Mount Ruapehu
138 Digital
133 Thunderstorm katie
126 Opal Storm
116 King Of The Jungle
114 Sixcor
110 Ganesha
102 Sir Benedict
96 Midnight Lir
79 Until Dawn
72 Hi Lord
62 Doon The Glen
46 Colour Code
On current form Mount Ruapehu looks the win bet in the race.
Digital looks a good e/w saver bet.
A small e/w on Thunderstorm katie
16.10 Newmarket Ratings
149 Sovereign Spell
91 Ten Carrot Harry
92 Front Line Fury
89 Pilu
88 Advertised
85 Angel Of Anfield
78 Kesta
72 First Legion
62 Rydale Frosty
56 Comical Point
56 Naval Light
48 Man Of Vision
BEST WIN BET — SOVEREIGN SPELL (149)
This is one of the strongest top‑rated horses you’ve had all day.
Why your model loves it:
Total: 149 (massive gap to the rest)
Top Form (10)
Top Trainer % (10)
Strong Speed (7)
Strong Constancy (6)
Strong Speed/Going (5)
High Improvement (7)
High Explosive Score (5)
BEST PLACE BET — FRONT LINE FURY (92)
Second and third in this race are close, but Front Line Fury is the most reliable EW profile.
Why:
Total: 92
Strong Speed (6)
Strong Constancy (😎
High Speed/Going (5)
High Jockey % (10)
High Trainer % (7)
Very balanced, low‑volatility profile
This is the safest horse to run into the frame.
BEST VALUE BET — ADVERTISED (88)
This is the one the market will underrate.
Why:
Total: 88
Strong Speed (😎
Strong Form (😎
Strong Constancy (5)
High Trainer % (9)
High Improvement (7)
High Explosive Score (2)
Likely to be a bigger price than Front Line Fury or Pilu
Back from my holidays .
17.15 Newmarket Ratings
108 Anaisa
105 Cinque Verde
103 Slay Queen
101 Powdering
100 Mercury Day
99 Lady Roxby
94 Lightening Polka
87 Orchid
77 Lady Kodiac
75 Fantasy Obsessor
74 Cuban Lady
48 Paradise Walk
40 Angel Love
BEST WIN BET — ANAISA (108)
Your top-rated horse in this race.
Why your model likes her:
Strong Fitness (8)
Strong Speed/Going (8)
High Trainer % (10)
Good Constancy (5)
No major weak columns
She’s the most complete profile in this field.
BEST PLACE BET — CINQUE VERDE (105)
Second-highest rating and extremely consistent.
Why she’s the safest EW:
Strong Speed (9)
Strong Jockey % (8)
Strong Constancy (4)
Good Pace (8)
Reliable across all pillars
Your model treats this type as a banker for the frame.
BEST VALUE BET — POWDERING (101)
This is the one the market will underestimate.
Why she’s the value angle:
Strong Speed/Going (6)
Strong Jockey % (8)
Good Win Rate (7)
High Trainer % (7)
Slightly lower total, but the profile is the kind that pops at a price
Sunday 26th April 18.45 Musselburgh Ratings
185 I`m Next
159 Mon Na Slieve
139 Montezuma
136 Ziggy`s Triton
129 Archduke Ferdinand
124 Albegone
120 Jer Batt
111 South Parade
107 Reigning Profit
98 Knicks
91 Azuinthejungle
90 Pop Star
81 Arnhem
WIN BET — I’M NEXT (143)
Your model absolutely loves this horse.
Why he’s the standout:
Top Speed
Top Form
Top Constancy Index
Top Speed/Going
High Improvement Score
Strong Trainer %
Strong Jockey %
High Explosive Score
No weak columns at all
This is one of the strongest profiles across the entire day.
E/W BET — MON NA SLIEVE (139)
A classic “model banker” for the places.
Why:
Very strong Speed
Strong Form
High Constancy
Strong Trainer %
Strong Jockey %
Only slightly behind I’m Next
If the favourite doesn’t win, this is the one most likely to.
VALUE BET — MONTEZUMA (136)
This is the one the market will underrate.
Why:
High Improvement Score
Strong Speed Form Inc
High Explosive Score
Strong Constancy
Likely to be a bigger price than the top two
SECOND VALUE — ZIGGY’S TRITON (133)
Strong Form
Good Speed
High Constancy
Strong Trainer %
Will be a price
Not as strong as Montezuma, but still a live outsider.
15.30 Sandown Ratings
162 Montregard
147 Resplendent Grey
144 Ask Brewster
139 Havaila
115 Rock My Way
111 Certainly Red
103 Henry`s Friend
96 Transmission
86 In d`Or
85 Our Power
84 Invincible Nao
80 Road To Home
73 Livin On Luco
44 Gabbys Cross
WIN BET — MONTREGARD (142)
Your model absolutely loves this horse.
Why he’s the standout:
Top Speed
Top Form
Top Constancy Index
Top Speed/Going
High Improvement Score
Strong Trainer %
Strong Jockey %
High Explosive Score
No weak columns at all
This is one of the strongest profiles across the entire day.
this is the winner.
E/W BET — RESPLENDENT GREY (138)
A classic “model banker” for the places.
Why:
Very strong Speed
Strong Form
High Constancy
Strong Trainer %
Strong Jockey %
Only slightly behind Montregard
If the favourite doesn’t win, this is the one most likely to.
VALUE BET — ASK BREWSTER (135)
This is the one the market will underrate.
Why:
High Improvement Score
Strong Speed Form Inc
High Explosive Score
Strong Constancy
Likely to be a bigger price than the top two
Your model LOVES this pattern — it’s the same profile that keeps producing your big-priced placers.
19.45 Doncaster Ratings
149 Queen Of Good news
134 Union Island
134 Siam Fox
129 Pretty Spirited
121 Mariner
115 Pisanello
104 Fire Eyes
99 U S S Constitution
93 Barleybrown
85 Relevant Range
78 Whiskey Pete
75 Wolf Of Badenoch
68 Chuzzlewit
WIN BET — QUEEN OF GOOD NEW (132)
Your model absolutely loves this horse.
Why she’s the standout:
Top Speed
Top Form
Top Constancy Index
Top Improvement Score
Top Speed/Going
Strong Trainer %
Strong Jockey %
High Explosive Score
No weak columns anywhere
This is one of the strongest profiles across the entire Pontefract card.
Your model says: this is the winner.
E/W BET — UNION ISLAND (129)
A classic “model banker” for the places.
Why:
Very strong Speed
Strong Form
High Constancy
Strong Trainer %
Strong Jockey %
Only slightly behind Queen Of Good New
VALUE BET — SIAM FOX (126)
This is the one the market will underrate.
Why:
High Improvement Score
Strong Speed Form Inc
High Explosive Score
Strong Constancy
Likely to be a bigger price than the top two
Your model LOVES this pattern — it’s the same profile that keeps producing your big-priced placers.
19.48 Dundalk Ratings
100 Beauparc
86 Rock Of Ireland
85 San Andreas
85 Sir Callisto
66 Drucker
64 Hollys Graces
55 Wandering Rocks
39 Mont St Michel
36 Liberate
33 Voice Of Reason
23 la Dame Blanche
WIN BET — Beauparc
Total: 100 (clear top)
Strong across Form, Constancy, Trainer %, Explosive Score
No weak columns
Your model’s structure (Speed + Form + Trainer %) aligns perfectly here
→ NAP of this race
⭐ E/W BET — San Andreas
Total: 85
Strong Speed/Going and Improvement Score
Consistent profile
Perfect EW type — reliable, runs to its mark
VALUE BET — Sir Callisto
Total: 85
High Form Last Form (10) and Speed/Going (8)
Trainer % solid
Likely to be a bigger price than San Andreas
Ideal “model likes it, market underrates it” type
17.48 Gowran Park Ratings
115 Glory To Be
102 Independent Expert
99 Gloriously Glam
92 Pink Oxalis
90 Alibah
83 Greydreambeliever
77 Greek Flower
73 Varshini
67 Tahcowin
59 Rion Rubette
57 Zous And Me
⭐ WIN BET — Glory To Be
Total: 115 (clear top)
Strong across Speed, Form, Constancy, Trainer %, Explosive
No weak columns
Your model’s structure (Speed + Form + Trainer %) aligns perfectly here
→ NAP of this race
E/W BET — Independent Expert
Total: 102
High Win Rate and Trainer %
Consistent across metrics
Perfect EW profile — reliable, runs to its mark
VALUE BET — Gloriously Glam
Total: 99
Solid Speed/Going and Form
Slightly under the radar compared to top two
Likely to be a bigger price but capable of outrunning odds
20.00 Newcastle Ratings
140 Lord Capulet
135 Anthropologist
134 The Green man
114 Phoenix of Dreams
111 Blazing Son
109 Call Me Betty
109 Cusack
108 King`s School
93 Bobby Joe Leg
93 Novak
86 Ziggy`s Condor
81 Too Much
76 Criminal Shore
51 Kitaab
. Best WIN Bet
🟩 LORD CAPULET
Total: 87 (highest in the race)
Why he’s the win pick:
Strong Speed 7
Good Form Last 6
Solid Improvement 6
Explosive Score 6
No negatives in Market Move (0)
He’s the most complete profile in the field and the only
one with a clear edge on combined Speed + Form + Total.
2. Best EACH‑WAY Bet
🟦 THE GREEN MAN
Total: 81
Why he’s the EW pick:
Very strong Speed 8
Form Last 6
Improvement 7 (one of the best in the race)
Explosive Score 6
Consistent profile with no major weaknesses
He doesn’t top the ratings, but he’s the most reliable “always runs his race” type and has enough upside to hit the frame.
Best VALUE Bet
🟧 PHOENIX OF DREAMS
Total: 78
Why he’s the value angle:
Improvement Score 8 (joint‑best in the race)
Explosive Score 7 (best in the race)
Speed 7
Form Last 5 (solid)
Market Move 0 (neutral — good for value)
This is the classic “about to pop” profile: high improvement, high explosiveness, strong speed, and likely a bigger price than the top two.
16.45 Curragh Ratings
120 Lahpre Da King
117 Red Charlie
117 Earls
107 Real Force
97 Smoke Them Out
96 Merisi Diamond
95 Goal Exceeded
95 Mickey The Steel
92 Sun Soldier
89 L L Koulsty
87 Loinsoir
77 Jan Riggens
73 San Aer
72 Blues Emperor
51 Local Lad
29 Hexagonal
23 Lady Mary Heath
BEST WIN BET
San Aer
Why your model makes this the standout:
One of the highest Total scores in the field
Strong Speed, Form, and Last Form
Excellent Trainer % and Jockey %
Positive Improvement Score
Solid Constancy Index
No negatives in Going, Draw, or Pace
Your sheet consistently pushes horses like this to the top — balanced, reliable, and trending upward.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET
Blues Emperor
Why your model likes it each‑way:
High Total but slightly below the top tier
Very strong Speed/Going match
Good Form and Last Form
Trainer/Jockey combination solid
Pace profile suggests it will be in the mix late
Enough consistency to hit the frame even if not winning
This is exactly the type your model flags as EW value:
High floor, medium ceiling.
BEST VALUE BET (Longshot)
Lady Mary Heath
Why your model flags it as value:
Lower Total score but several hidden positives
Strong Improvement Score
Positive Market Move
Good Speed/Going match
Trainer 14 score suggests stable is in form
Profile fits your “value” pattern:
Not top‑rated
But improving
And underestimated by the market
This is the type your model regularly finds as a price horse that outruns odds.
Ayr 13.45 Ratings
154 Diamond dealer
127 Blakey Boy
115 Young Jack
106 Al Kalila
101 pounding Poet
98 Milcree
97 I Wish You
95 Big John Wayne
92 Gamester Guy
90 Ayiko
76 Caughtinyourtrance
75 Just Over Land
61 Walking On Air
58 Kdeux Saint Fray
0
WIN BET — Diamond Dealer
This is the standout on your card.
🔑 Key strengths from your ratings:
Total: 154 (clear top)
Speed: 5
Form: 8
Last Form: 10
Constancy Index: 9
Speed/Going: 8
Jockey Co: 10
Trainer %: 4
Performance Score: 8
Market Move: –1 (neutral → no negative signal)
E/W BET — Blakey Boy
The most reliable placer in the race.
🔑 Key strengths:
Total: 127 (2nd highest)
Speed: 5
Form: 7
Last Form: 10
Constancy Index: 9
Speed/Going: 9
Jockey Co: 9
Trainer %: 8
Market Move: 0 (neutral)
VALUE BET — Young Jack
This is the classic “underrated improver” in your sheet.
🔑 Key strengths:
Total: 115 (solid)
Speed: 8
Form: 8
Last Form: 10
Constancy Index: 9
Speed/Going: 9
Trainer %: 8
Market Move: +1 (slight support)
17.25 Newbury Ratings
123 Juan Les Pins
119 Gweedore
117 Lakers
112 Brosay
109 Cindy Lou Who
96 Addison Grey
91 Photosynthesis
87 Roach Power
84 Hucklesbrook
83 Brian
81 Change Sings
77 Darling Legend
71 Artic Thunder
68 Wheels Of Fire
59 Mirabeau
56 Montezin
BEST WIN BET — Juan Les Pins
Total: 123 (top-rated)
Speed: 8
Going: 8
Form Last: 4
Market Move: 0
Why he’s the WIN pick:
Clear highest total rating in the race
Strong speed and going
No negative market drift
Your model always sides with the top total unless there’s a major red flag — and there isn’t one here
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — Gweedore
Total: 119 (2nd highest)
Speed: 10 (joint highest)
Form Last: 9
Going: 7
Market Move: 0
Why he’s the EW pick:
Strong top‑3 total rating
Excellent speed
Strong recent form
Solid going and no negative market signal
This is the classic “consistent, reliable, frame‑hitter” profile in your model
🎯 BEST VALUE BET — Lakers
Total: 117 (3rd highest)
Speed: 10
Going: 5
Form Last: 7
Market Move: –5 (drift)
Why he’s the VALUE pick:
High ability rating (117)
Speed 10 is elite
Form 7 is solid
Market Move –5 = drifting → bigger price
This is exactly the pattern your VALUE logic loves:
Strong ability + strong speed + negative market move = overpriced
15.45 Ripon Ratings
163 It Just Takes Time
136 Kats Bob
121 Sixtygeesbaby
118 American Style
116 Fortamour
106 Mister Sox
100 Roberto Caro
99 Modern Times
99 Wen Moon
98 Intervention
97 Lesley`s Bpy
94 Kodiac Thriller
74 Almarada Prince
74 Rock Opera
62 Wild Clary
50 Another Investment
WIN BET — It Just Takes Time
This horse is miles clear on your ratings.
Total: 163 (highest by a huge margin)
Speed: 9
Form Last: 8
Going: 9
Trainer %: 5
Jockey %: 8
Performance Score: 7
Market Move: –7 (drift → but your model still has it top)
EACH‑WAY BET — Kats Rob
The second‑best overall profile and the most reliable placer.
Key numbers:
Total: 136
Speed: 7
Form Last: 8
Going: 3
Trainer %: 5
Jockey %: 6
Performance Score: 7
Market Move: –7
Why EW:
Strong Total rating
Very solid Form Last
Good Speed
VALUE BET — Sixtyeesbaby
This is the classic “underrated improver” in your sheet.
Key numbers:
Total: 121
Speed: 8
Form Last: 7
Going: 10
Trainer %: 6
Jockey %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Market Move: –4 (value drift)
19.30 Southwell Ratings
138 Rusheen Boy
129 Dancing With Drums
123 Orbital Chime
115 Call Glory
107 Enpassant
103 English Lady
94 Aspire To Glory
90 Rainwater
88 Embarked
82 Beelzebud
52 Sixteen One
44 On key
Best Win Bet — Rusheen Boy
Best Each‑Way Bet — Dancing With Drums
Best Value Bet — Orbital Chime
18.45 Musselburgh Sunday
141 Al Husser
132 Zarzyni
120 Northern Spirit
116 Impressar
114 Right And Exact
113 Equity Law
113 South Parade
105 Pop Star
105 Blind Begger
104 Classy Al
97 Kinetic Force
97 Jm Jhingree
94 Arnhem
93 Lion`s House
85 Emerald Harmony
84 Vince L`Amour
71 Montezuma
1. Right And Exact — Best Combined Profile
• Massive highs (Distance 12, Wins 10)
• Massive lows (Trainer %, Jockey % both 1)
• Exactly the kind of chaotic profile that outruns a price
🥈 2. Pop Star — Major Danger
• Strong Speed + Constancy
• Weak Form + low Win Rate
• Perfect “spike run” shape
🥉 3. Blind Begger — High‑variance threat
• Big Speed + Distance
• Very low Win Rate
• Can run huge or bomb completely
⭐ Honourable mentions
• Northern Spirit – safest value
• Impressar – trainer‑driven value
• Kinetic Force / Arnhem / Lion’s House – wild longshots only
19.15 Southwell Ratings
141 Captain Pickles
132 Heretic
126 I can Boogy
121 Autumn Angel
119 Micky Mongoose
119 Turdo Command
103 Drafted
92 Thomas Equinas
66 Barney`s Bay
62 Fort Augustus
61 Movetheforcebewivu
🥇 1. Captain Pickles — Total 141
This is the strongest all‑round profile in the race.
• High Speed (7), Form (10), Constancy (8)
• Strong Trainer % (8) and Performance Score (9)
• Good Speed Ratio (5)
• No major negatives
• Market Movers: –1 (neutral‑positive)
This is the most complete, balanced, reliable engine in the field.
🥈 2. Heretic — Total 132
A very solid second.
• Strong Class (8)
• Good Speed (8), Form (6), Constancy (8)
• Excellent Trainer % (11)
• High Performance Score (5)
• Market Movers: +2 (quiet positive)
This is the “consistent, high‑floor” profile.
Final Rankings (Value + Longshot Strength)
🥇 1. Micky Mongoose — Best Combined Profile
• High upside
• Strong pace
• Volatile form
• Market won’t treat him like a 119 horse
🥈 2. Turdo Command — Joint Top Danger
• Big Places
• Strong suitability
• Weak form = market underestimates
• Upside is real
🥉 3. Drafted — Trainer‑Driven Longshot
• Trainer % (12) is enormous
• Market Movers –5 = hidden support
• Low total but high ceiling
⭐ Others
• Autumn Angel — safest value
• Fort Augustus / Movetheforcebewivu — wild longshots only
15.05 Aintree Ratings
122 Impose Toi
112 Honesty Policy
109 Home By The Lee
109 Jungko Blue
103 Strong Leader
98 Air Of Entitlement
89 Hiddenvalley Lake
81 lavida Adiva
79 Take No Chances
64 Hewick
61 Doddiethegreat
Best Value E/W Profile (Model‑Based)
Impose Toi — Total 122
1. Perfect total score for e/w value
Your model LOVES totals in the 110–125 range for e/w shapes.
Impose Toi sits right in the sweet spot at 122.
High enough to have the engine.
Low enough that the market won’t over‑shorten him.
2. Strong engine
• Speed: 9
• Form: 8
• Constancy: 5
• Pace: 5
• Speed Ratio: 6
This is the “runs to a level” profile — ideal for hitting the frame.
3. Human factors are excellent
• Trainer %: 8
• Jockey %: 4 (neutral)
• Performance Score: 8
Stable, reliable, consistent yard profile.
4. Market Movers = –5
This is the key.
A strong drift + strong internal numbers =
He’s drifting, but the numbers say he’s better than the market is treating him.
5. Suitability is strong
• Course: 4
• Distance: 5
• Class: 6
• Going: 7
No red flags anywhere.
🥈 Secondary E/W Value Profiles
2. Honesty Policy — Total 112
• Strong Form (7)
• Good Constancy (😎
• Trainer %: 7
• Market Movers: 0
Neutral market + solid engine = value.
3. Jungko Blue — Total 109
• Speed: 6
• Form Last: 10
• Form: 5
• Constancy: 5
• Market Movers: +3
Form spike + positive signal.
🧠 MODEL SUMMARY — Best E/W Value Shapes
1. Impose Toi ← strongest e/w value profile
2. Honesty Policy
3. Jungko Blue
17.35 Thirsk Ratings
140 Jkr Cobbler
128 Good Karma
116 Reidh
108 Operation Gimcrack
99 Ey Up He`s A Star
99 Miss Willows
94 Mwafaaq
90 Sunny Orange
88 Orbital Chime
87 Filey Beach
83 Woodruff
70 Invincable Melody
55 Angel Of England
54 Oselton
TOP 3 CONFIDENCE PICKS (Final)
1. Jkr Cobbler
2. Good Karma
3. Reidh
Best Value E/W Profile (Model‑Based)
Reidh — Total 116
Why your model flags him as the strongest value e/w shape:
1. Perfect mid‑range total for e/w value
• Not too high (so market won’t over‑shorten him)
• Not too low (so he has the engine to hit the frame)
Your model LOVES totals in the 110–125 band for e/w value.
13.45 Aintree Ratings
154 Fingle Bridge
147 Indeevar Bleu
144 Wellington Arch
125 Trustintimes
108 Favour And Fortune
107 Swindon Village
106 Top Jimmy
104 Fiercely Proud
101 Act Of Authority
99 Captain Teague
97 Jazzy Matty
96 Fulvoir
96 Rambo T
93 Sir Galahad
90 Joyeuse
85 Jet To Vegas
84 Emid `io Pepe
81 Hot Fuss
75 Bowmore
68 Ike Sport
62 Ballykinlar
52 Fiveonefive
1. Fingle Bridge — Total 154
⭐ Highest confidence in the entire race
Why he’s #1 by a wide margin:
• Class: 15
• Going: 7
• Wins: 14
• Places: 14
• Speed: 10
• Form: 10
• Constancy: 7
• Pace: 5
• Trainer %: 12
• Performance Score: 7
• Speed Ratio: 8
• Market Movers: –3 (mild drift = value signal)
This is the most complete profile in the entire dataset — elite engine, elite consistency, elite human factors.
Your model LOVES this shape.
🥈 2. Indeevar Bleu — Total 147
⭐ Clear second, strong confidence
Why he ranks just behind Fingle Bridge:
• Class: 14
• Going: 5
• Wins: 12
• Places: 15
• Speed: 10
• Form Last: 10
• Form: 9
• Constancy: 5
• Trainer %: 9
• Performance Score: 7
• Speed Ratio: 6
• Market Movers: –4 (strong drift = value)
This is the classic high‑class, high‑form, high‑consistency profile with a drift that boosts value.
🥉 3. Wellington Arch — Total 144
⭐ Strong, reliable, high‑confidence profile
Why he completes the top 3:
• Distance: 7
• Class: 11
• Going: 6
• Wins: 10
• Places: 10
• Speed: 12
• Form Last: 10
• Form: 12
• Constancy: 6
• Pace: 7
• Speed Ratio: 7
• Market Movers: –6 (big drift = value)
This is the engine + drift profile your model consistently elevates.
🧠 TOP 3 CONFIDENCE PICKS (Final)
1. Fingle Bridge
2. Indeevar Bleu
3. Wellington Arch
These three are miles clear of the rest on combined engine strength, suitability, human factors, and market signal.
16.40 Aintree Ratings
117 Hercule Du Seuil
108 Sans Bruit
97 Highlands Legacy
94 javert Allen
94 Inthepocket
92 Ryan`s Rocket
92 Boothill
87 Grain d1Oudairies
86 Brookie
86 Petit Tonnerre
77 Dr T J Ackleburg
74 Wonleg
73 Jasko Des Dames
65 Palamon
53 Stencil
Why Sans Bruit is your model’s top value horse
1. Strong engine metrics
• Speed: 9
• Form Last: 4
• Form: 4
• Pace: 8
• Speed/Going: 10 ← huge
• Performance Score: 8
This is the classic “runs faster than his rating” profile.
2. Human factors are strong
• Trainer %: 7
• Jockey %: 9
• Jockey Course: 4
• Trainer Course: 7
This is a quietly strong human‑team profile.
3. Market Movers = –1
This is the key.
A small negative drift combined with above‑average model numbers is exactly the pattern your system flags as value:
• Not being backed
• Not being laid heavily
• Market is neutral
• But your internal numbers rate him higher than the market likely will
This is textbook value.
🥈 Secondary Value Profiles
2. Highlands Legacy — Total 97
• Form Last: 10
• Form: 10
• Trainer %: 10
• Market Movers: +3
• Big form spike + trainer strength = under‑the‑radar improver.
3. Javert Allen — Total 94
• Constancy: 10
• Pace: 10
• Trainer %: 7
• Market Movers: –6 (big drift = value signal)
• This is the “drifter with strong core numbers” profile.
16.07 Nottingham Ratings
133 Hostelry
131 Antiquity
128 Louie The Legend
108 Gladiadora
106 Revich
104 Powerful Response
89 Rosemary`s Rose
81 Spirit Catcher
66 Sir David
66 The Sweet Escape
59 Future Cutlet
54 Amber Honey
49 Rogue Officer
47 Token Love
29 Our Misty Blue
BEST WIN BET — Hostelry (Total: 133)
Why Hostelry stands out:
• Top overall score in the field
• Strong across Speed, Form, Win Rate, C/D, Fitness, Consistency
• High Speed/Going match
• Reliable Jockey % and Trainer %
• No structural weaknesses in the row
This is the most complete profile in the race.
If you’re backing one to win, this is the one.
BEST E/W SAVER — Antiquity (Total: 131)
Why Antiquity is the perfect saver:
• 2nd‑highest total score
• Big numbers in Class, Distance, Going, Speed, Form
• Strong Trainer 14 and Trainer %
• High Win Rate and Places
• Very stable profile — ideal for place reliability
If Hostelry doesn’t convert, Antiquity is the one most likely to hit the frame.
🔥 LONGSHOT VALUE BET — Gladiadora (Total: 108)
This is the one the market will undervalue, but your model doesn’t.
Why Gladiadora is the value angle:
• Strong Speed, Form, Consistency, Pace
• Good Trainer Course and Trainer 14
• High Speed/Going alignment
• Solid place indicators (Wins, Places, Form Last)
• Total score (108) is far higher than typical outsiders
This is the classic “model says yes, market says no” horse —
the definition of a value longshot.
15.57 Pontefract Ratings
122 Spartan Arrow
119 Atomic Force
111 Reigning Profut
106 Elegant Erin
102 Lethal Nymph
96 Arklow Lad
88 Dark Cloud Rising
82 Seven Questions
82 Purosangue
79 Kylian
78 Wobwobwob
73 Vantheman
71 Havana Rum
🥇 Strongest Win Profile
Spartan Arrow
🥈 Most Reliable / E/W‑Style Profile
Atomic Force
💰 Top Value Profiles
1. Reigning Profut
2. Elegant Erin
3. Lethal Nymph
15.30 Kempton Ratings
120 Bahadur
115 Goblet Of Fire
93 Marnier
74 Incensed
73 Midnight Rumble
62 Serenity Blue
61 Topteam
60 Rouge Impact
58 Youthful King
🥇 Best Win Profile
Bahadur
🥈 Best E/W‑Style Reliability Profile
Goblet Of Fire
💰 Top Value Profiles
1. Marnier
2. Midnight Rumble
3. Youthful King
15.45 Bath Ratings
131 Level Up
122 So Smart
113 Secret Handshikh
113 The Feminine Urge
105 Hidden Verse
97 Symbol Of Hope
97 Diamondinthesand
90 Dandy Dinmont
89 Twilight Madness
85 Call Time
70 Reporter
65 Tilsworth Ony Ta
40 Dragon God
Level Up — Total 134
Why your model makes this the strongest win profile:
• Distance: 8
• Class: 7
• Going: 9
• C/D: 7
• Speed: 9
• Pace: 9
• Constancy: 9
• Jockey %: 10
• Trainer %: 9
• Suitability Score: 38.3 (elite)
This is the most complete profile in the race.
Your model sees no major weaknesses.
So Smart — Total 118
Why your model sees this as the most reliable:
• Constancy: 6
• Form: 4
• Fitness: 8
• Jockey %: 8
• Trainer %: 6
• Market Movers: –3 (mild drift = stable)
• Suitability: 25.5 (well suited)
This is the horse your model expects to run to its level.
Value Profile #1 — The Feminine Urge (113)
Why:
• Distance: 9
• Class: 10
• Going: 10
• Form Last: 7
• Pace: 5.65
• Suitability Score: 37.45 (elite)
• Market Movers: –6 (classic value signal)
15.20 Haydock Ratings
157 Minella Drama
153 Filanderer
152 The Flier Begley
146 Numitor
141 Courtland
133 Le Milos
132 Triple Trade
124 Dubai Days
121 Outlaw Pete
121 Guard Your Dreams
119 Whistleinthedark
98 The Widdow Maker
95 Neon Moon
94 Fugitif
84 Lord Baddesley
80 Genois
68 Dreal Deal
🏆 BEST WIN BET — Minella Drama
Why:
• Highest total score: 157
• Form Last 10
• Speed 10
• Constancy 10
• Pace 9 → perfect for this race
• Trainer % 10
• Performance Score 7
• Speed Ratio –1 → efficient enough
This is the most complete profile in the race.
⭐ BEST EACH WAY BET — Filanderer
Why:
• Total 153
• Form 9
• Speed 6
• Fitness 5
• Pace 7
• Speed Ratio –3 (excellent)
• Trainer % 10
• Performance Score 10
• Win Prob 0.05 → big EW price
This is the classic EW horse:
• Strong numbers
• Strong efficiency
• Strong trainer
• Market will underrate him
⭐ Verdict:
Filanderer is the standout EW play — rock solid place chance, live win chance.
🔥 BEST VALUE BET — Numitor
Why:
• Total 146
• Speed 7
• Form Last 7
• Win Rate 13
• Pace 7
• Speed Ratio –1
• Trainer % 6
• Market Movers 3
• Win Prob 0.02 → MASSIVE value
This is the exact pattern your model LOVES:
• Strong numbers
• Strong pace
• Strong efficiency
• Very low win probability → big odds
• Market support → smart money sees it too
⭐ Verdict:
Numitor is the value bet — overpriced relative to true chance.
15.42 Curragh Ratings
132 Independent Expert
131 Perry Mason
109 Engines On
107 Highbury See See
105 Key Witness
99 Playin Cool
87 Blues Emperor
83 Iron Fist
81 Vain Gloria
80 Quatre Bras
77 Genuine Article
63 Final Voyage
60 Dar Toungi
58 Lady Lilac
57 Dos Mukasan
56 Kibris
53 Calm The Jets
44 Diego El Queso
39 Westminster Moon
-3 Daonethatgotaway
-74 Gleneagle Bay
BEST WIN BET — Independent Expert
✔ Total: 132
✔ Form Last: 10
✔ Speed: 13
✔ Fitness: 7
✔ Performance Score: 9
✔ Trainer 14: 6
✔ Speed Ratio: +6 (not ideal, but manageable)
✔ Pace: 8 (big advantage in this race)
This horse has the strongest combination of form, speed, consistency, and tactical pace.
He sits just behind the leaders and gets first run.
⭐ Verdict:
Independent Expert is the most likely winner.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — Perry Mason
✔ Total: 131
✔ Form Last: 10
✔ Speed: 11
✔ Fitness: 9
✔ Trainer %: 12
✔ Performance Score: 9
✔ Speed Ratio: –11 (excellent)
✔ Win Prob: 0.05 (big EW price)
✔ Market Movers: 1 (neutral)
This is the classic EW profile:
• Strong numbers
• Strong trainer
• Elite speed ratio
• Will be a bigger price than his true chance
⭐ Verdict:
Perry Mason is the standout EW play — rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET — Ferrous
✔ Total: 127
✔ Speed: 8
✔ Form Last: 8
✔ Pace: 7
✔ Speed Ratio: –5 (very strong)
✔ Trainer %: 7
✔ Market Movers: 7 (big positive)
✔ Win Prob: 0.04 (market underrating massively)
This is the value bomb:
• Strong numbers
• Strong pace
• Strong efficiency
• Very low win probability → big odds
• Market support → smart money sees it too
⭐ Verdict:
Ferrous is the value bet — overpriced relative to true chance.
3rd April Newcastle Ratings
150 Berkshire Whisper
136 Sarab Star
134 Pocklington
128 Marshman
128 El Bodon
127 Ferrous
107 Heathcliff
105 Sir Les Patterson
103 Si Darn Hot
100 Fivethousandtoone
98 Wiltshire
98 Valiant Force
87 Lakers
43 City House
🟩 3. BEST WIN BET
⭐ Berkshire Whisper
Why:
• Highest total score: 150
• Pace 7 → perfect for a fast‑run race
• Draw 1 → dream position
• Constancy 10 → reliable
• Speed Ratio –4 → efficient
• Trainer % 9
• Win Rate 10
This is the most complete profile in the race.
✔ Verdict:
Berkshire Whisper is the most likely winner
BEST EACH‑WAY BET
⭐ Pocklington
Why:
• Total 134
• Form Last 8
• Form 10
• Pace 9 → sits handy
• Speed Ratio 0 → neutral
• Trainer 14 = 8
• Win Rate 13
This horse is ultra‑consistent, tactically perfect, and always runs his race.
✔ Verdict:
Pocklington is the standout EW bet.
BEST VALUE BET (strong figures but market underrates)
⭐ Ferrous
Why:
• Total 127
• Speed 8
• Form Last 8
• Pace 7
• Speed Ratio –5 (excellent)
• Trainer % 7
• Market Movers 7 → big positive
• Win Prob 0.04 → MASSIVE value
• Strong numbers
• Strong pace
• Strong efficiency
• Low win probability → big price
• Market support → smart money sees it too
✔ Verdict:
Ferrous is the value bet — overpriced relative to true chance.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET — Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
• High form
• High consistency
• Strong trainer
• Excellent speed ratio
• Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play — rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET — Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: –4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
• Strong numbers
• Strong speed
• Strong form
• Strong pace
• Weak trainer % → bigger odds
• Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET — Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
• High form
• High consistency
• Strong trainer
• Excellent speed ratio
• Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play — rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET — Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: –4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
• Strong numbers
• Strong speed
• Strong form
• Strong pace
• Weak trainer % → bigger odds
• Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET — Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
• High form
• High consistency
• Strong trainer
• Excellent speed ratio
• Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play — rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET — Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: –4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
• Strong numbers
• Strong speed
• Strong form
• Strong pace
• Weak trainer % → bigger odds
• Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET — Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
• High form
• High consistency
• Strong trainer
• Excellent speed ratio
• Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play — rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET — Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: –4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
• Strong numbers
• Strong speed
• Strong form
• Strong pace
• Weak trainer % → bigger odds
• Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET — Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
• High form
• High consistency
• Strong trainer
• Excellent speed ratio
• Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play — rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET — Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: –4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
• Strong numbers
• Strong speed
• Strong form
• Strong pace
• Weak trainer % → bigger odds
• Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET — Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
• High form
• High consistency
• Strong trainer
• Excellent speed ratio
• Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play — rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET — Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: –4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
• Strong numbers
• Strong speed
• Strong form
• Strong pace
• Weak trainer % → bigger odds
• Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET — Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
• High form
• High consistency
• Strong trainer
• Excellent speed ratio
• Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play — rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET — Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: –4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
• Strong numbers
• Strong speed
• Strong form
• Strong pace
• Weak trainer % → bigger odds
• Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET — Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: –6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
• High form
• High consistency
• Strong trainer
• Excellent speed ratio
• Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play — rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET — Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: –4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
• Strong numbers
• Strong speed
• Strong form
• Strong pace
• Weak trainer % → bigger odds
• Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.45 Dundalk Ratings
156 Sporting Hero17
143 Amemri
127 I`m Spartacus
113 Collective Power
109 Clonmarsh
107 Dontspoilasale
104 Rappell
87 Inishfallen
85 Beauty Queen
71 Mc Loven
39 Edmond Halley
-350 I Bid You Ajou
Sporting Hero —(156 total)
This horse is absolutely loaded.
• Highest total score in the race (156)
• Course 6 / Distance 7 / Class 3 / Going 10 — elite suitability
• Wins 9 / Win Rate 10 — proven
• Form Last 10 — peak form
• Pace 8 — strong
• Trainer % 12 — huge
• Speed Ratio –2 — efficient
• Market Movers 7 — positive signal
Also a key horse in the race of mine
2. Amemri — NTO SILVER (143 total)
A very strong, consistent, improving type.
• Course 5 / Distance 6 / Class 5 / Going 8 — solid
Also A Key horse.
5. Clonmarsh — OUTSIDER (109 total)
Not a top‑rated horse, but the profile has upside.
Why:
• Form Last 10
• Form 8
• Pace 5
• Trainer % 9
• Trainer 14‑day 10
• Speed Ratio –1 — excellent
NTO Verdict:
Capable of surprising in a weak race.
3. I’m Spartacus — (127 total)
Not as strong as the top two, but the profile is sneaky good.
Why he’s interesting:
• Distance 8
• Form Last 10
• Fitness 5
• Pace 6
• Trainer % 7
• Performance Score 9
• Speed Ratio –5 — workable
18.30 Wolverhampton Ratings
146 He`s A Gentleman
136 farsasi Lane
136 Habrdi
125 Harbour Vision
114 Chifa
110 Cephalus
108 Giorgio
108 Al Muqdad
105 Pearly Squirrel
75 Midnights Dream
65 Wolf OF Badenoch
54 Highland Olly
WIN BET: He’s A Gentleman
Most complete profile. Highest rating. Strong across all categories.
💰 E/W VALUE BET: Chifa
Strong going, strong speed, strong trainer/jockey, value angle.
🎯 LONGSHOT VALUE: Giorgio
Speed + jockey + consistency + drift = classic outsider profile.
20.30 Wolverhampton Ratings
135 Brinton
134 Wyvern
128 First Encounter
119 Captain Pickles
113 Arlecchino`s Rex
94 Sceptic
89 Take The A Train
77 Mooretown Lad
63 Like Magic
43 Princess Vivi
34 Mornin Suit
Best Win Bet: Brinton (135)
EW Saver: Wyvern (134
Value EW / Danger Horse: First Encounter (128)
Brinton ticks most boxes,, Wyvern also good form on the a/w .
Doncaster 17.50 Ratings
169 Thunder Star
146 Emperor Caradoc
143 Spoof
139 Charlie Mason
134 Juan Les Pins
133 Our Absent Friends
130 Thornaby Pearl
121 Impressor
110 Glory Hyde
109 Harry`s Halo
99 Fuji Mountain
97 I Need Your Love
94 Vince L`Amour
92 J Street
91 The Fixer
81 Yes I`m mali
71 Ay Gee Eli
69 My Mate Kev
BEST WIN BET — Thunder Star (169)
• Highest Total by a huge margin
• Massive Weighted Speed
• Strong Speed/Going
• High Pace
• High Win Rate
• Strong Performance Score
• Strong Trainer %
• Strong Jockey %
• High Consistency
• High C/D
• High Class
• High Going
• High Distance
This is the most complete profile in the race.
Your model is screaming WIN BET.
BEST EACH‑WAY SAVER — Emperor Caradoc (146)
Why Emperor Caradoc over Spoof?
• Better Class
• Better Distance
• Better C/D
• Better Fitness
• Better Jockey %
• Better Trainer %
• Higher Speed Form Index
• Higher Performance Score
• More stable profile
• Lower volatility
This is the safer EW profile.
VALUE EW / DANGER HORSE — Spoof (143)
Spoof is:
• Very strong on Speed
• Very strong on Pace
• Very strong on Weighted Speed
• Very strong on Performance Score
• Very strong on Market Movers
But…
• Volatile
• Inconsistent
• Negative Going
• Negative Course
• Negative Distance
• Negative Headgear
• Negative Fitness
This is the classic danger horse:
• Can win
• Can blow out
• Must be respected in forecasts
• Perfect for value EW or cover bets
Your danger‑system would flag him instantly.
Doncaster Lincoln Ratings
163 Rouge Diplomat
146 Thunder Roar
145 Eternal Force
133 Shout
121 Urdan Lion
119 Botanical
119 Great Acclaim
127 Christian David
117 Anno Domini
117 Alpha Crucis
109 La Trinidad
108 La Botte
108 Tribal Chief
109 Greek Order
109 Orandi
103 Volvano
93 Theoryofeverthing
97 Mirabeau
99 Bopedro
91 Tarkhan
90 Metal Merchant
79 Galeron
Thundre Roar , Rouge Diplomat, shout, Eternal Force. look like the horse to have a small punt on, due to their old turf form.
See how the rating go on the start of the turf season.
19.00 Newcastle Ratings
140 Twilight Fun
134 Paddy`s Day
130 Badri
120 Hockney
116 Venture Capital
111 Wicket Keeper
107 Power Fizz
92 Sergeant Wilko
88 Mister Blubird
81 Roberto Caro
74 Rousing Encore
62 Wheels Of Fire
57 Twilight Calls
40 Andesite
BEST WIN BET — Paddy’s Day (136)
Your model strongly favours him:
• Highest final score
• Strong weighted speed
• High performance score
• Strong improvement
• Good win probability
• Good stability
• Good constancy
• Low negative adjustments
He’s the most complete profile in the race.
BEST EACH‑WAY SAVER — Twilight Fun (132)
Why Twilight Fun over Badri?
Your model shows:
• Higher Speed/Going
• Higher Weighted Speed
• Higher Improver Spike
• Higher Volatility (EW horses often have volatility)
• Better Constancy
• Better Stability Rating
• Better Projected Speed
Twilight Fun is the safer EW profile.
VALUE EW / DANGER HORSE — Badri (131)
Badri is:
• Very strong on performance score
• Strong on speed
• Strong on improvement
• Strong on jockey/trainer
• Strong on win probability
But…
• Higher volatility
• Lower constancy
• More negative adjustments
This makes him a danger horse rather than a safe EW saver.
Exactly the type your danger‑system is designed to flag.
17.07 Southwell Ratings
93 Blackjack
93 Ramon Di Loria
88 Good Earth
78 Travel Agent
76 Insuspense
72 Beelzebub
70 Ziggy`s Angel
70 Winchurch
67 Rock Of England
37 Dragon God
WIN BET: BLACKJACK
Why?
• Highest Final Score (101)
• Strongest speed cluster
• Strongest consistency
• Strongest stability
• Strongest improver profile
• Already flagged as Value Bet in your sheet
• Best “complete” profile in the race
This is the horse your model is screaming for.
Best EACH‑WAY Saver
E/W SAVER: RAMON DI LORIA
Why?
• High speed
• High consistency
• High improvement
• Very strong EW profile
• Final Score 96 (2nd highest)
• Low volatility → reliable placer
This is the safest EW horse in the race.
DANGER: INSUSPENSE
Why?
• Massive improver profile
• High volatility (can spike)
• Strong speed
• Not reliable enough for main bet
• But absolutely capable of outrunning odds
This is the “don’t leave it out of exotics” horse.
15.11 Hexham Ratings
130 Smart Decision
125 Eddie My Eagle
117 He`s Bresilian
116 Fromheretoetenity
105 The Cistercain
90 Freddie Robinson
86 That One
83 Caramelo Rapido
82 Bust A Move
73 Dee`s Getaway
51 Goldwyn
38 barrakilla Vage
Form Guide
1st over c/d off 7lbs less, Jockey takes off 7lbs, so is well handicapped. Win e/w
These horses consistently appear in the top tier of your metrics:
• Eddie My Eagle
• He’s Bresilian
• Fromheretoetenity
Each has strengths, but none match Smart Decision’s all‑round profile.
Value‑style profiles
These horses have solid numbers but may be underestimated:
• The Cistercain
• Freddie Robinson
trying to get my hat trick of winners this week, Today is harder.
19.00 Wolverhampton Ratings
125 Dr Ali
118 Tommytwohoots
108 Black Cab
104 Lynwood Lad
102 Walking On Clouds
100 Stroxx
100 Bernie The Bear
84 Port Hedland
83 Bernard Spierpoint
56 My Mate Beattie
55 Big Time Rascal
Best Win Bet: Dr Ali (125)
Why?
• Highest weighted speed
• Strong form
• High consistency
• Good jockey/trainer indicators
• Strong performance score
• Positive speed/going match
He is the clear top‑rated.
Black Cab
But the best EW saver is the one with:
• High score
• High place potential
• Strong consistency
• Strong speed/going match
Each‑Way Saver: Tommytwohoots (118)
Why?
• Very strong speed
• Good form
• Good consistency
• Good draw
• Strong trainer %
• High performance score
• Only 7 points behind the top horse
He’s the most reliable “runs his race” type.
13.25 Nass Ratings
117 Tai Tam Bay
115 Magical Vision
113 Mickey The Steel
104 Noble Nation
104 Kilmood Susan
85 Mehmar
79 Zabriskie Point
79 Mc Loven
78 Sovereign Banter
75 Reposado
70 Exceeding
59 Heart Of Eternity
55 Eichan San
54 Fontaine Khaled
51 Edmond Hatley
24 Unfamilier
Form Guide
There are 3 horses in the race from my ratings at the Curragh , Mickey The Steel , Tai Tam Bay.
Tai Tam Bay came 2nd in the rated race keeping on at the end with a 7lbs claimer on board, Mickey the steel came 3rd, Mehmar 6th at Dundalk on the a/w . But won over c/d off 10lbs higher.
Magical Vision 1st at the Currragh off 3lbs less over 5f.
So the horse mentioned above could be the ones to concentrate on, e/w saver and win saver on Tai Tam Bay.
16.28 Southwell Ratings
142 Gaeli
138 Fahrenheit Seven
123 Ziggy`s Triton
122 Clearpoint
120 Rhyrhm N Hooves
105 Kylian
101 Spartan Arrow
95 Against The Wind
90 Clarendon House
81 Miss Attitude
73 Vintage Clarets
70 Brosay
Win bet: Gaeli
Why Gaeli is the strongest win candidate
• Highest Total rating in the field (142)
• Elite Speed (10) and Form (10)
• Strong Going match (Speed/Going 9)
• High Fitness and C/D indicators
• Consistent profile with no major negatives
• Trainer % and Jockey % both solid
This is the horse your model trusts most on pure ability, consistency, and suitability.
Win bet alternative: Fahrenheit Seven
Fahrenheit Seven is extremely close to Gaeli and would be the win pick in many races. The difference is small, but Gaeli’s going match and constancy give him the edge.
Why Fahrenheit Seven is still a major threat
• Total 138 (just behind Gaeli)
• Very strong Speed (10), Form (10), and Performance Score (7)
• High Jockey % and Trainer %
• Strong consistency indicators
• Only slight negatives in Market Movers and Going Allowance
If the race shape turns tactical or the early pace is steadier than expected, Fahrenheit Seven becomes the main danger.
Best each‑way bet: Ziggy’s Triton
Ziggy’s Triton is the standout value horse. He sits below the top two on Total but has the strongest combination of Pace, Speed/Going, and Win Prob among the mid‑tier runners.
Why Ziggy’s Triton is the best E/W saver
• Total 123 (competitive)
• Speed/Going 8.95 (excellent match)
• Pace 6 (ideal for a mid‑division or stalker profile)
• Form 9 and Performance Score 10 (major positives)
• Win Prob 10 (your model’s internal confidence spike)
• Market Movers –1 (value indicator)
This is the exact profile that often outruns the top two if the race shape suits.
17.10 Dundalk 20th March Ratings
157 Inishmont Prince
151 I`m Spartacus
139 Clonmacash
138 Mehman
135 Collective ower
130 Oxford Circus
117 Dontspoilasale
115 Sporting Hero
92 Venetian
89 Inishfallen
81 Beauty Queen
70 Alfred Tennyson
Strong Win Candidates:
Mehman, Clonmacash, Dontspoilasale, I’m Spartacus
• Value EW:
Oxford Circus, Inishmot Prince
• Forecast / Tricast Core:
Mehman – Clonmacash – Dontspoilasale
19.30 Kempton Ratings
136 Sea Founder
128 Atmosphere
127 Billy Mill
121 Final Night
113 Jazzy Baby
107 Valentine Boy
96 Caph Star
95 Rey De La Batalla
94 Arantes Nascimento
87 Rhythm N Rock
81 Midnight`s Dream
78 The Hare Rail
62 McKenna
Top Win Bet: Sea Founder
Why this one stands out:
• Highest total score: 136 — clear top‑rated.
• Strong across Speed, Form, Fitness, Jockey %, Trainer %, Pace.
• Very few weak categories.
• Consistency Index and Speed/Going both high → reliable profile.
Verdict:
➡️ WIN BET — the most complete profile in the field.
Secondary Win / Strong EW: Atmosphere (128)
Why:
• 2nd‑highest total score.
• Very strong Win Rate, Jockey %, Trainer %, Speed, Form.
• A couple of mid‑range ratings but no major red flags.
Verdict:
➡️ WIN or EW — dependable and well‑balanced.
Value Win/EW: Billy Mill (127)
Why:
• Only 1 point behind Atmosphere.
• Excellent C/D, Wins, Places, Speed, Form, Constancy.
• Looks like a horse that performs consistently at the track/trip.
Verdict:
➡️ EW with win potential — especially if the market underestimates him.
Each‑Way Value Picks
These aren’t top‑rated overall, but they have angles that make them dangerous at a price. Final Night (121)
• High Form, Pace, Speed/Going, Trainer %.
• Slightly inconsistent but has winning tools.
➡️ EW — especially if the price is double‑figures.
Jazzy Baby (113)
• Good Speed, Form, Pace, Trainer 14, Drawn.
• Lower total score but strong in the right categories for a place.
➡️ EW — sneaky profile.
Valentine Boy (107)
18.00 Wolverhampton Ratings 17th March
136 Bomb Squad
135 Ramon Di Loria
122 Von Krolock
116 Lucky Man
112 Landlordtothestars
97 Poke The Bear
83 Punchbowl Flyer
73 King David
69 Crystal Dagger
67 Amelia`s Joy
57 Pickersgill
1. Bomb Squad (22.9%) – strongest win candidate
High Total, strong Win Prob, no negative market signal.
make him the win bet.
2. Ramon Di Loria (21.5%) – almost joint‑top
Very similar profile to Bomb Squad.
High consistency, strong speed, reliable.
3. Von Krolock (19.8%) – the big value horse
This is the most important insight:
• High Win Prob (5)
• Positive market move (+2)
• Strong Pace (7)
• Strong Speed/Going (4)
• Strong Form
This is exactly the type of horse that outruns his Total rating.
4. Lucky Man (16.8%) – the pace‑fit danger
Lucky Man has:
• High Win Prob (4)
• Positive market move (+2)
• Strong Pace (5)
• Strong Speed/Going (5)
• High Form (7)
This is a Salacious‑type profile:
A horse who can beat the model if the race shape suits.
5. Punchbowl Flyer (5.8%) – long‑shot improver
Low Total but:
• Win Prob 4
• Market Movers +2
• Strong Speed (9)
• Strong Pace (6)
This is a classic “hidden danger”
20.30 Wolverhampton Ratings
142 Kento
141 Lion Ring
117 Kipp Kelly
105 Second Collection
105 Captain Kinsella
85 Global Effort
81 Phil`s Dream
46 Moonhall Lass
41 Coco Hill
Win Bet
Kento
Highest adjusted probability, strong consistency, strong speed/going match.
Each‑Way Saver
Kipp Kelly
Best value in the race: high internal confidence, no negative market drift, and a strong Total rating.
Danger Horse
Lion Ring
Almost joint‑top on ability, but market drift suggests he may be slightly overbet.
Long‑shot place value
Phil’s Dream
Improving, stable, and under‑the‑radar.
14.35 Curragh Ratings Sunday
113 Smoke Them Out
99 Mickey The Steel
91 Jon Riggens
81 Merisi Diamond
70 Secret Magician
70 Winemaker
68 Tai Tam Bay
67 Usuario Amigo
54 Green Icon
52 Salacious
50 Go Out
47 Two And Two
Best Win Bet — Smoke Them Out
Smoke Them Out stands out across the strongest predictive layers:
Best Each‑Way Saver — Mickey The Steel
Mickey The Steel is the clearest value horse in the field.
Live Danger Horse (optional saver) — Jon Riggens
Not a main bet, but worth noting:
Start of the Irish Turf season, so having a go at rating the race to see how my ratings go.
16.35 Newcastle Ratings
134 Hawkseye View
128 Mobile Mamma
112 The Jad Factor
118 Athair Mor
111 Halfway House Lad
98 Goododbill
93 Swallows Song
80 Lord De Vinci
72 Alltalknoaction
71 Eveque
50 Aill Dubh
Risk notes and tactical adjustments
• If Hawkseye View shows negative market movement or a late jockey/trainer change, reduce the win stake and shift some units to Mobile Mamma each‑way.
• If each‑way terms are generous (1/4 odds, 4 places), consider increasing Mobile Mamma to 1.5 units each‑way as a saver.
• If you prefer a single‑ticket conservative approach: 1 unit win Hawkseye View + 1 unit each‑way Mobile Mamma.
14.25 Uttoxeter Ratings
147 A Poi De Nom
146 French Ship
141 John Barbour
133 Keable
130 Santos Blue
128 Red Risk
125 Hartington
118 Just Golden
117 King Of The Lake
107 Nab Wood
105 Jurancon
103 Twig
96 Thank You Ma`am
85 Hidden History
73 Roaring Conquest
72 Doughmore Bay
71 Ontheropes
⭐ A Poi De Nom
⭐ French Ship
⭐ John Barbour
These are the most complete profiles in the race.
Among them:
• A Poi De Nom has the highest Total rating.
• French Ship has the strongest trainer/jockey combination.
• John Barbour has the best suitability. Nie e/w saver bet
Those are the three your model highlights most strongly.
14.00 Cheltenham Ratings
189 Wilful
181 Sinnatra
166 Jubilee Alpha
159 Absurde
156 Bowensonfire
146 Ooh Betty
143 Cracking Rhapsody
134 Tripoli Flyer
134 Karbau
127 Sticktotheplan
124 Murcia
120 Sixandahalf
117 Hello Neighbour
115 Secret Squirrel
114 Jayeuse
112 Williethebuilder
107 Bowmore
105 Ndaawi
96 Helvic Dream
95 hamlet`s Night
88 Pinot Gris
83 Tellherthename
76 Gibbs Island
74 Balko d Angel
Win bet: Wilful
Wilful is the strongest horse in the entire dataset by a clear margin.
Why Wilful is the win bet
• Total Score: 189 (highest in the race)
• Elite Speed (14), Form (13), Performance (14)
• Very high Constancy (15)
• Strong Pace (22)
• Strong Trainer % (14)
• Strong Jockey % (11)
• No weaknesses in any category
• Top‑tier suitability across class, going, and distance
This is the most complete, most reliable, and most dominant profile in the race.
WIN BET: WILFUL
Each‑way saver #1: Sinnatra
Sinnatra is the closest challenger and the most reliable place horse.
Why Sinnatra is the top EW saver
• Total Score: 181 (2nd highest)
• Elite Speed (15) and Form (12)
• Strong Constancy (13)
• Strong Trainer % (10)
• Strong Jockey % (10)
• Very high Pace (22)
• No volatility flags
This is the most likely horse to chase Wilful home and a very strong top‑3 probability.
E/W SAVER #1: SINNATRA
Each‑way saver #2: Jubilee Alpha
Jubilee Alpha is the best value each‑way horse in the race.
Why Jubilee Alpha is the value EW
• Total Score: 166 (clear 3rd)
• Strong Speed (12), Form (13), Performance (11)
• Very high Constancy (14)
• Strong Trainer % (15)
• Strong Jockey % (8)
• Excellent suitability profile
This is the safest “third horse” in the race and a strong place candidate.
E/W SAVER #2: JUBILEE ALPHA
💰 Each‑way saver #3 (value): Absurde
Absurde is the best-priced improver and a strong place threat.
Why Absurde is the value improver
• Total Score: 159
• Strong Speed (9), Form (10), Performance (10)
• Good Constancy (10)
• Strong Trainer % (13)
• Strong Jockey % (10)
• Very solid pace and suitability
This is the horse most likely to hit the frame at a bigger price.
E/W SAVER #3: ABSURDE
4.00 Cheltenham Ratings
177 Gold Dancer
173 Jordon`s Cross
165 Stencil
163 Kiss Will
158 Regent`s Stroll
158 Slade Steel
156 Moon Rocket
156 King Alexander
155 The Bluesman
149 Kdeux Saint Fray
148 meetmebythesea
139 Wingman
130 Western Knight
104 Ben Solo
102 Ol Man Dingle
100 Dr Eggman
94 Where`s My Jet
55 Intense Approach
Win Bet: Gold Dancer
Gold Dancer is the strongest profile in the entire field:
• Total Score: 177 (highest in the race)
• Elite Speed (11), Form (11), Performance (12)
• Very high Constancy (15)
• Strong Pace (22)
• Strong Trainer % (12) and Jockey % (11)
• No weaknesses in any category
• Consistent across all conditions
This is the most complete, balanced, and reliable winning profile.
WIN BET: GOLD DANCER
Each‑Way Saver #1: Jordon’s Cross
Jordon’s Cross is the closest challenger to Gold Dancer:
• Total Score: 173 (2nd highest)
• Strong Speed (9), Form (10), Performance (9)
• Very high Constancy (13)
• Strong Pace (22)
• Good Trainer % (9) and Jockey % (8)
• No major negatives
This is the most reliable horse to hit the frame and the most likely to chase Gold Dancer home.
E/W SAVER #1: JORDON’S CROSS
Each‑Way Saver #2: Stencil
Stencil is the best value each‑way horse in the race:
• Total Score: 165 (clear 3rd)
• Very balanced profile:
• Speed: 9
• Form: 9
• Performance: 10
• Constancy: 12
• Strong Trainer % (10)
• Strong Pace (26)
• No volatility flags
Stencil is the safest “third horse” in the race and a strong place candidate.
E/W SAVER #2: STENCIL
14.40 Cheltenham Ratings
214 Storm Heart
208 Ballyadam
200 Jingko Blue
198 The yellow Clay
189 Forty Coats
187 Kateira
186 Guard Duty
186 Give It To Me Oj
181 Iberico Lord
180 Chart Topper
180 Beckett Rock
177 Farren Glory
173 Colonel Mustard
172 Minella Rescue
168 Kopeck De Mee
161 Lucky Place
159 Rambo T
126 Puturhandstogether
119 Franciscan Rock
107 Bunting
105 Buddy One
95 Sony Bill
83 Dargiannini
46 HMS Seahorse
Storm Heart (214)
• Elite Speed, Going, C/D, Draw, and Constancy
• Strong Form + Jockey/Trainer metrics
• No weaknesses in the table
→ Your model’s most complete horse. A legitimate win bet.
Ballyadam (208)
• Very high Class, Course, Distance, and Form
• Trainer % and Jockey % excellent
• Slightly lower Speed/Going match than Storm Heart
→ Rock‑solid, especially if the race conditions favour experience.
Jingko Blue (200)
• Huge Form and Draw scores
• Strong Jockey Course and Trainer Course
• Market Mover: –1, meaning slight drift
→ Still a major contender, but not as bulletproof as Storm Heart.
Win Bets
1. Storm Heart
2. Ballyadam
3. Jingko Blue
Each‑Way Value
1. The Yellow Clay
2. Forty Coats
3. Kateira
Danger Horses (include in forecasts/tricasts)
1. Iberico Lord
2. Beckett Rock
3. Farren Glory
16.40 Cheltenham Ratings
166 Vanderpoel
140 Calico
137 Rubaud
137 Personal Ambition
131 Jour d`Evasion
124 Jazzy Matty
119 Touch Me Not
117 Be Aware
113 Inthepocket
112 Relieved Of Duties
110 Break My Soul
104 Western Diego
104 The Other Mozzie
97 Boothill
95 Ballysax Hank
92 Addragoole
88 Martator
83 Jasko Des Dames
83 Release The Beast
73 Special Cadeau
57 Ryan`s Rocket
47 Golden Joy
Vanderpoel
Your model’s clear #1 — strongest speed, form, and consistency.
Calico & Rubaud
Both have strong class + speed + reliability profiles.
Personal Ambition
Very balanced — strong form, strong pace, strong suitability.
Jour d’Evasion
Improving profile, strong form, good pace — a live each‑way player.
WIN
1. Vanderpoel
2. Calico
3. Rubaud
EACH‑WAY
1. Personal Ambition
2. Jour d’Evasion
3. Jazzy Matty
15.20 Cheltenham Ratings
258 Iroko
223 Jagwar
179 Leave Of Absence
178 Myretown
160 Imerial Saint
159 Blow Your Wad
156 The Doyen Chief
151 Konfusion
151 Handstands
143 Resplendent Grey
135 Blaze The way
133 Hyland
133 Filanderer
131 Quebecois
120 Knight Of Allen
106 Margaret`s Legacy
92 Johnnywho
91 Search For Glory
89 Eyed
85 Stolen Silver
71 The Short Go
71 Patters Merchant
Summary
WIN BET
• IROKO
EACH‑WAY BETS
1. Jagwar
2. Leave Of Absence
3. Myretown
STRONGEST EACH‑WAY BET: JAGWAR
Jagwar is the standout each‑way horse because:
• Total Score: 223 (clear 2nd)
• Very high Constancy (15)
• Very high Pace (20)
• Strong Speed–Form Index (12)
• Strong Performance Score (10)
• Good Form Last Time (12)
• Race‑card comment:
“Won the Plate here last year; this new trip could prompt improvement.”
This is the perfect each‑way profile:
consistent, improving, strong course form, strong pace, strong speed.
SECOND EACH‑WAY BET: LEAVE OF ABSENCE
Your model loves him:
• Weighted Speed: 20 (joint highest in the race)
• Strong Constancy (17)
• Strong Pace (17)
• Good Speed–Form Index (13)
• Good Performance Score (9)
• Race‑card comment:
“Not disgraced in Grade 2; not ruled out each‑way back in a handicap.”
This is the classic “strong speed + strong consistency + class drop”
THIRD EACH‑WAY BET: HYLAND
Hyland is the sleeper in your numbers:
• Total Score: 133 (mid‑pack but misleading)
• Strong Weighted Speed (10)
• Good Form Last Time (9)
• Good Constancy (7)
• Good Speed–Form Index (13)
• Race‑card comment:
“3‑5 here and close fourth at Ascot; could be in the mix.”
Cheltenham course form + staying power + consistency = each‑way danger.
E/W BET #3: HYLAND
16.02 Nass Ratings
153 Goraibhmaithagot
132 Uhavemeinstiches
126 High Class hero
114 Bushmans Pass
104 Shanbally Kid
101 Grandero Bello
100 Harvard Guy
98 Sa Majeste
91 Ballybow
91 Kinturk Kalanisi
88 Buachailbocht
86 Velvet Elvis
80 Prophet`s Corner
78 Built By Ballymore
67 Chosen Witness
63 The Lovely Man
1. Goraibhmaithagat
The strongest form horse in the race.
• Landed a gamble in a Listed handicap here last time.
• Beat several of today’s rivals decisively.
• Up 7lb but still looks well treated on the evidence of that win.
• Highest Weighted Speed, Speed, Form, and Total in your sheet.
This is the clearest “top of the form tree” runner.
2. Uhavemeinstitches
Consistent, progressive, and reliable.
• Debut chase winner.
• Has run well in defeat since.
• Comes here instead of the Kim Muir — a strong placement signal.
• High Speed/Going, strong Form, and a high Total score.
A very solid form horse with no major negatives.
Bushmans Pass
Last year’s winner with a strong form base.
• Won this race off 127 last year.
• Seasonal return was below best, but that’s typical for him.
• Back to defend his title and now fitter.
• Strong Form, Consistency, and a high Total relative to the field.
On form alone, he edges the rest of the second tier.
Bucksy Des Epeires
This is the most obvious volatility horse.
• Had fallen in the weights before winning at Ludlow.
• That win showed a big spike compared to previous runs.
• Still on a workable mark → upside remains.
• Profile: low reliability, high improvement swing, capable of a big run.
Your volatility formula will push him strongly into the E/W shortlist.
14.27 Sandown Ratings
135 Fingle Bridge
128 Star Of Guiting
123 Rubber Ball
119 Go Dante
118 Top Jimmy
108 Game Colours
107 Gooloogong
102 General Briar
98 Jack Hyde
95 We`re Red And blue
95 Mondo Man
93 Spirits Bay
92 Afadil
87 Bubble Dubai
98 Jack Hyde
95 We`re Red And blue
95 Mondo Man
93 Spirits Bay
92 Afadil
87 Bubble Dubai
79 No Ordinary Joe
63 Wreckless Eric
53 Brace For Landing
27 Messerschmitt
Win Score Race (top win candidates)
1. Go Dante – Course specialist; wind op; strong Ability + Condition.
2. Star Of Guiting – Progressive; improving; strong Speed/Form.
3. General Briar – Unexposed; big upside.
4. Top Jimmy – Solid recent form; reliable.
Each‑Way (volatility‑boosted)
1. Gooloogong – Massive volatility; huge upside; dangerous at a price.
2. Jack Hyde – Reliable placer; strong consistency.
3. Afadil – Proven in the race; stable profile.
4. Wreckless Eric – Well handicapped; placed last year.
5. Rubber Ball – Form swings; dangerous if repeating last run.
17.12 Dundalk Friday Ratings
159 Lohore Da King
141 Nikki Swango
131 Notforalongtime
122 Battle Borne
122 Una Matata
118 Blue Anthem
114 Perfect Judgement
111 Mehman
107 Clanmacash
102 Howyoulikethat
82 Beauty Queen
73 Rockbury Lad
68 Alfred Tennyson
44 Desert haven
Form Guide
Money ing on Nikki Swango so could be the saver
Notforalongtime ticks a lot of boxes. so could be the good outsider e/w bet.
Win saver on the top rated.
19.30 Newcastle Ratings
157 Caston
156 Digital
153 Harb
144 Lion`s House
141 Our Absent friends
133 Blue Force
112 Water Of Leith
99 Juan Les Pins
96 Dark Kestrel
79 Moonshine Boy
76 Albegone
64 Pop Star
Lion’s House is the clear model favourite, driven by high improvement, strong perfom Ajust, and top Ability.
• Caston, Digital, Our Absent Friends, and Blue Force form a tight cluster of co‑second favourites — your model sees them as almost identical threats.
• Harb, Water of Leith, Juan Les Pins are legitimate place contenders with small but meaningful win chances.
• Moonshine Boy, Albegone, Pop Star have limited winning profiles but can run into the frame.
• Dark Kestrel would need an extreme race shape to win.
Lion House looks the winner on form, Caston and Our Absent friends could be the e/w bets, also a reverse tricast on the above 3
18.00 Kempton Ratings
1. I’m Working On It — 130.
2. Advancing — 113.
3. Mr Baloo — 113.
4. Miletus — 106.
5. Midnight Dream — 101.
6. Shihoku — 100.
7. Elouise’s Prince — 91.
8. Harvey — 89.
9. Cavolo Nero — 84.
10. Helm Rock — 78.
11. Good Speed — 63.
Rossendale Value‑Bet Shortlist (Final)
1. Miletus
2. Midnight Dream
3. Shihoku
4. Elouise’s Prince
5. Cavolo Nero (each‑way)
Final Rossendale Value‑Bet Shortlist
1. Miletus — true price 9/2
2. Midnight Dream — true price 11/2
3. Shihoku — true price 6/1
4. Elouise’s Prince — true price 15/2
5. Cavolo Nero — true price 10/1 (each‑way)
Highest‑probability tricasts
• Miletus → Midnight Dream → Shihoku
• Miletus → Shihoku → Midnight Dream
• Midnight Dream → Miletus → Shihoku
• Shihoku → Miletus → Midnight Dream
Value tricasts (big prices but logical)
• Cavolo Nero → Miletus → Midnight Dream
• Cavolo Nero → Midnight Dream → Shihoku
• Cavolo Nero → Elouise’s Prince → Miletus
16.02 Southwell Ratings
151 Azure Angel
122 Spring Is Sprung
120 Rhythm N Hooves
111 Venture Capital
107 Ziggy`s Triton
105 Baldomero
105 Fivethousandtoone
86 Pilgrim
82 Equality
77 Mon Na Slive
47 Gaeli
Azure Angel becomes the clear top pick because its race‑profile Total (148) is far higher than the rest.
• Spring Is Sprung and Rhythm N Hooves remain strong because their class layer boosts them. e/w
• Ziggy’s Triton, Venture Capital, and Fivethousandtoone form a tight mid‑pack cluster. e/w
• Gaeli is a long way behind — both layers score low.
18.30 Wolverhampton Ratings
162 Beauzon
139 Macarone
130 Havana Sky
115 Lucky Man
112 Mart
112 Initial Blue
107 Due Date
97 Woodhay Whisper
74 Dicko the Legend
62 Punchbowl Flyer
• Small bankroll approach:
• Beauzon — 3 units win.
• Macarone — 1 unit win; 1 unit each‑way (if 1/4 or 1/5 terms).
• Mart and Due Date — 0.5 unit each‑way.
• Higher risk / higher reward: shift 1 unit from Beauzon to Punchbowl Flyer or Initial Blue each‑way.
16.25 Leopardstown Ratings
131 The Wallpark
130 Dreal Deal
130 Jordans
127 Gorgeous Tom
121 Ballybawn Belter
120 Broomfield Bijou
106 Quai De Bourbon
106 O`Toole
101 Monbeg Park
90 Moon d`Orange
82 An Peann Dearg
80 Fishery Lane
60 Binge Worthy
59 Invictus Machin
53 Digby
43 Indiana Jones
The Wallpark : Good weighted spedd, going form. win saver
Dreal Deal : Shown good speed e/w
Jordons : ticks a feww boxes, so win saver and a small e/w ,
Gorgeous Tom : Also ticks a few boxes. win, e/w saver
14.55 Kelso Ratings
151 Spectacularsunrise
133 Lucky Manifest
132 Captain Hugo
123 Hot Fuss
120 Dedicated Hero
118 Serious Operator
117 Cracking Rhapsody
110 Serious Challenge
107 Bertie's Ballet
104 Hamlet's Night
102 City of Diamonds
98 Wise Eagle
93 Jet to Vegas
86 Heart Above
81 Laafi
59 Quaviste
56 Bespoke Tailor
Best Bet – Spectacularsunrise
Confidence: 9/10 (Very High)
Spectacularsunrise is the Rossendale banker.
Why the model loves him:
• Total: 151 (highest in the race)
• Speed: elite
• Form: elite
• Consistency Index: 15 (top of the field)
• Performance Score2: 120
• Future Rating: 11
• Win Prob2: 13
• Jockey/Trainer synergy: strong
• “Winner” + “Top 4” flags
• Above Avg confidence
Hamlet’s Night – 104 Total
• Above Avg
• Future Rating: 9
• Consistent
A solid EW option at a price.
Value Sleeper – City of Diamonds
Confidence: 7/10
City of Diamonds is the ratings sleeper:
• Total: 102
• Performance Score2: 30
• Future Rating: 10
• Win Prob2: 13
• “Winner” tag
• Top 4 flagged
If the market overlooks him, he’s the one who could blow the race open.
14.42 Lingfield Ratings
135 Party Bear
133 Lady Manzor
131 Brazilian Rose
119 Mereside Diva
117 Penelope Valentine
96 Bridget`s View
90 Ziggy`s Queen
90 Bear Rock
82 Powdering
77 Enola Grey
63 Cartwheel
• Win focus:
• Party Bear, Brazilian Rose, Lady Manzor
• EW / place focus:
• Mereside Diva, Penelope Valentine, Ziggy’s Queen
• Speculative EW only if big price:
• Powdering
• Horses you don’t need onside:
• Cartwheel, plus Bear Rock / Bridget’s View as low‑priority.
19.00 Chelmsford Ratings
128 Flicka`s Girl
109 Poetic Jack
86 Dark Sorcerss
80 Hannah`s Return
70 Tilsworth Only Ta
69 Lynwood Lad
59 Beautiful Things
48 Little Miss Magic
43 Henry Tudor
34 Magic Fluke
Flicka’s Girl
• Tagged Winner, Outstanding, Top 4.
• High Weighted Speed (128), strong Speed/Form Index, high consistency.
• One of the few with positive “Performance Score2” and “Best Horses” flags.
• Poetic Jack
• Tagged Strong, Top 4, EW Bet.
• High Form, strong Speed/Going, good Trainer/Jockey percentages.
• Market Movers positive.
These two form the core of the race.
EW Value
These horses don’t top the ratings but have improving profiles or strong single metrics.
• Dark Sorceress
• High Speed/Form, strong consistency, good pace.
• Lower Performance Score but improving.
• Hannah’s Return
• Tagged Outstanding.
• Good Form, good consistency, improving profile.
These are the EW or place‑value types.
14.42 Lingfield Ratings
129 Street Life
116 The Defiant
108 Second Collection
102 Manhatton Chute
101 Coolagh Magic
91 Desdemona
86 Bluebells Boy
85 Honour Your Dreams
82 Dubai Magic
74 Tomarlo
Top 4 Horses
1. Manhatton Chute — Probable Winner
2. Street Life — Strong numbers, high performance, Top 4 flag
3. Tomarlo — Strong, consistent, high tactical score
4. Desdemona — Above average, reliable, strong Speed/Form Index
Final Summary
This race revolves around Manhatton Chute.
If he runs to his numbers, he wins.
If he underperforms, Street Life is the most likely to capitalise.
For value, The Defiant and Second Collection are the EW angles.
Tomarlo is the danger if the race turns tactical.
15.42 Newcastle Ratings
160 Blue lakota
135 Dandy Magic
134 Novak
128 True Promise
116 Fan Mail
115 The Green Man
112 Beale Street
110 Grant Wood
93 Kitaab
91 Alpine Girl
86 Showtime Mahomes
80 Maxi Boy
Blue Lakota
• Highest performance score
• High weighted speed
• Strong consistency
• Market resistant
• Top‑4 + EW flagged
• Draw adjusted speed strong
Best Speed Horse
Beale Street
• Highest raw speed (88)
• Strong draw
• Trainer course angle positive
If the race sets up for speed, this one becomes dangerous.
DANDY MAGIC — Best E/W Bet
Performance Score: 135 (2nd overall behind Blue Lakota, but
This is the horse that ticks every EW box:
✔ Strong speed
✔ Strong form
✔ Strong trainer
✔ Strong pace
✔ Consistent
✔ Market‑friendly
✔ High performance score
✔ Your model explicitly tags it as EW Bet
Key Horses at Newcastle
Pallas Lad e/w 16.12
JKR Cobbler 16.42
How`s The Guvnor 17.42
18.00 Wolverhampton Ratings
133 Ramon Di Loria
126 Von Krolock
114 River Wharfe
113 Pofrin
110 Amaysmont
98 Bad Habits
83 Buttercross Flyer
78 Romanovich
75 Lhebayeb
43 Rambusco Creek
1. Ramon Di Loria — The Clear Win Bet
Why he’s the standout:
• Highest Performance Score (135)
• Strongest Form + Speed combination
• High consistency
• Excellent tactical numbers
• Trend: Improving
Verdict:
He has the most complete profile in the race. If he runs to his marks, he wins.
1. Pofrin — Rock‑Solid E/W
Why he’s ideal for place money:
• Performance Score 112
• Strong Speed/Going
• Improving trend
• Good tactical pace
Verdict:
Always runs his race. A classic E/W banker.
16.00 Ayr Ratings
132 Diamond Geezer
105 The Jeweller`s Pet
97 Nellie Bluesky
89 Montian Molly
89 El Jefe
87 Eloi Du Puy
84 The Navigator
74 Jericoacoara
70 Lights Go Down
51 Balking
17 Go Frankie
FULL RACE VERDICT — ALL ANGLES COMBINED
Diamond Geezer sets a clear standard on the figures and looks the most likely winner. His overall profile is exceptionally strong: high Weighted Speed, excellent Form and Speed ratings, strong tactical numbers, and a top‑tier Performance Score of 132. He’s consistent, well‑drawn, and brings the most complete combination of speed, form, and reliability. If he runs to his marks, he should take plenty of beating.
The main danger is The Jeweller’s Pet, who posts a solid Performance Score of 105 and shows a strong blend of Form, Fitness, and tactical pace. He lacks the raw power of the favourite but has enough consistency and finishing ability to capitalise if the race becomes tactical or if Diamond Geezer underperforms.
Nellie Bluesky is the most interesting improver in behind. Her Speed/Going profile is strong, her Form is solid, and she has the type of upward curve that often produces a next‑time‑out winner. She’s not quite at the level of the top two yet, but she’s the one most likely to outrun her odds.
For each‑way players, Montian Molly and El Jefe appeal most. Montian Molly has a strong Form/Fitness combination and a reliable finishing profile, while El Jefe brings a high tactical pace rating and enough consistency to make the frame. Both look well suited to picking up place money if the principals dominate.
Eloi Du Puy and The Navigator sit just behind the main group — capable of running well but needing the race to fall their way. They’re more place than win material.
At the other end, Jericoacoara, Lights Go Down, Balking, and Go Frankie all look up against it. Their totals and tactical profiles suggest they’re either too inconsistent, too slow, or too exposed to be serious win or place contenders.
Verdict Summary
Most Likely Winner:
Diamond Geezer — strongest overall profile, top Performance Score, best tactical blend.
Main Danger:
The Jeweller’s Pet — consistent, strong Form/Fitness, capable of pouncing if the favourite slips.
Best Each‑Way Plays:
• Montian Molly
• El Jefe
Value Outsider / Dark Horse:
Nellie Bluesky — improving profile, could surprise. Oppose / Low Appeal:
16.00 Ayr Ratings
132 Diamond Geezer
105 The Jeweller`s Pet
97 Nellie Bluesky
89 Montian Molly
89 El Jefe
87 Eloi Du Puy
84 The Navigator
74 Jericoacoara
70 Lights Go Down
51 Balking
17 Go Frankie
FULL RACE VERDICT — ALL ANGLES COMBINED
Diamond Geezer sets a clear standard on the figures and looks the most likely winner. His overall profile is exceptionally strong: high Weighted Speed, excellent Form and Speed ratings, strong tactical numbers, and a top‑tier Performance Score of 132. He’s consistent, well‑drawn, and brings the most complete combination of speed, form, and reliability. If he runs to his marks, he should take plenty of beating.
The main danger is The Jeweller’s Pet, who posts a solid Performance Score of 105 and shows a strong blend of Form, Fitness, and tactical pace. He lacks the raw power of the favourite but has enough consistency and finishing ability to capitalise if the race becomes tactical or if Diamond Geezer underperforms.
Nellie Bluesky is the most interesting improver in behind. Her Speed/Going profile is strong, her Form is solid, and she has the type of upward curve that often produces a next‑time‑out winner. She’s not quite at the level of the top two yet, but she’s the one most likely to outrun her odds.
For each‑way players, Montian Molly and El Jefe appeal most. Montian Molly has a strong Form/Fitness combination and a reliable finishing profile, while El Jefe brings a high tactical pace rating and enough consistency to make the frame. Both look well suited to picking up place money if the principals dominate.
Eloi Du Puy and The Navigator sit just behind the main group — capable of running well but needing the race to fall their way. They’re more place than win material.
At the other end, Jericoacoara, Lights Go Down, Balking, and Go Frankie all look up against it. Their totals and tactical profiles suggest they’re either too inconsistent, too slow, or too exposed to be serious win or place contenders.
Verdict Summary
Most Likely Winner:
Diamond Geezer — strongest overall profile, top Performance Score, best tactical blend.
Main Danger:
The Jeweller’s Pet — consistent, strong Form/Fitness, capable of pouncing if the favourite slips.
Best Each‑Way Plays:
• Montian Molly
• El Jefe
Value Outsider / Dark Horse:
Nellie Bluesky — improving profile, could surprise. Oppose / Low Appeal:
15.00 Nass Ratings
105 Collaborative
101 Moudan
100 Whimsy
91 Give Him A Chance
86 Fierce Handay
85 Joueur Masque
83 Le Grande Peinture
81 Piccolo Player
81 Fiveonfive
79 I A Connect
76 Be Fierce
65 Cut The Rope
61 Rebel Gold
58 Peaceinthevalley
56 Raydamann
46 Granville Street
20 Catch The Beast
BEST WIN BET — COLLABORATIVE
Why Collaborative is the standout
He has the strongest all‑round profile in the race:
• Performance Score: 105 (highest in the race)
• Speed: 8
• Form: 8
• Constancy: 8
• Speed/Going: 8
• Pace: 7
• Speed‑Form Index: 10
• Market Movers: +1 (positive)
• Win Rate: 7
• Total Score: 105 (top)
NEXT BEST (Win Alternative) — MOUDAN
Why he’s the danger
• Performance Score: 101
• Speed: 11 (highest in the race)
• Form: 9
• Constancy: 7
• Speed‑Form Index: 3
• Market Movers: –1 (slightly negative)
He’s the only horse with the raw speed to trouble
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — WHIMSY
Why Whimsy is the perfect EW horse
• Performance Score: 100
• Speed: 9
• Form: 10
• Constancy: 6
• Speed‑Form Index: 5
• Market Movers: –4 (market underrating him)
• Total Score: 100
• Strong finishing profile
He has the best finishing kick in the race and is undervalued by the market.
BEST EW BET: WHIMSY
17.45 Dundalk Ratings
149 Carolina Jetstream
147 Instant Appeal
145 Exquisite Acclaim
129 Moyassr
119 Pink Oxalis
114 Final Voyage
110 Far From Dandy
101 Quatre Bras
99 Titanium
98 Howyoulikethat
90 Brewing
79 Blues Emperor
47 Ndaawi
Carolina Jetstream; Good jockey on board.
Moyassr Is akey horse of mine in the race, Its a improver in the race.
Exquisite Acclaim good form in the race.
ROSSENDALE RACE VERDICT
WIN BET — Carolina Jetstream
Class edge + pace edge + consistency + form + draw.
The most complete profile in the race.
NEXT BEST — Instant Appeal
Strong everywhere, just slightly behind the top pick.
BEST EACH‑WAY — Exquisite Acclaim
Perfect EW shape: strong draw, strong form, strong speed, strong consistency.
VALUE PLAY — Moyassr
Big improver, strong form, likely a bigger price.
Key horses at Dundalk
prairie Girl 15.40
Go Out 16.10
Porshe Lad 16.40
Spirit Honour e/w 17.15
Imperial Fighter e/w outsider 18.45
15.43 Sedgefield Ratings
117 Benefit Ben
105 Avalon Beach
102 Thank Youe Blue
92 Les`s Legacy
91 Tread Softly Now
90 Deareithandkaty
86 A Mere Bagatelle
80 North Parade
50 Jakana
41 Alidam
39 Lady Phoebe
16 My Boy Christy
WIN BET — BENEFIT BEN
This one absolutely smashes your sheet.
Why Benefit Ben is the top selection
• Performance Score: 117 → Highest in the race
• Speed/Form Index: 93 (very strong for this grade)
• Constancy Index: 8 → Reliable
• Speed/Going: 10 → Best in the field
• Pace: 10 → Ideal tactical setup
• Top 4 Horses: 8
• Win Prob: 5 (solid for this class)
• Market Movers: 2 → Quiet but positive
He’s the only runner hitting speed + consistency + going suitability + pace advantage all at once.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — AVALON BEACH
Your sheet loves this one for place purposes.
Why Avalon Beach is the EW standout
• Performance Score: 105
• Speed/Form Index: 94
• Constancy Index: 8
• Speed/Going: 8
• Pace: 5
• Top 4 Horses: 7
• EW Bet profile is perfect: strong but not favourite
He’s the safest, most reliable EW profile in the race.
➡️ Best EW Bet: AVALON BEACH
VALUE PLAY — THANK YOUE BLUE
This is your classic Rossendale outsider with upside.
Why Thank Youe Blue is the value nibble
• Performance Score: 102
• Speed/Form Index: 94
• Improver Spike: 7
• Pace: 9
• Top 4 Horses: 7
• Win Rate: 10 → Big positive
• Will be a price
Not a main bet, but absolutely the right kind of value poke.
Value Nibble: THANK YOUE BLUE
20.00 Kempton Ratings
136 Powdering
130 Shallow
118 Supreme King
105 Charlie Mason
103 Ziggy`s Condor
98 Amazonian Dream
82 Merrimack
80 Al Barez
71 Auric
53 Irish Nector
49 Mission Command
30 Rory Rocket
WIN BET — POWDERING
Powdering is the strongest overall profile in the race.
Why Powdering is the top selection
• Performance Score: 136 → Highest in the race
• Speed/Form Index: 93 (solid for this grade)
• Strong verdict
• Improver Spike: 10
• Draw Adjusted Speed: 11 → Best in the field
• Top 4 Horses: 7
• EW Bet flag also present (shows stability)
• Consistency Index: 7
He’s the only runner hitting performance + consistency + draw + improver all at once.
Your engine has him as the most complete profile in the race.
Official Win Selection: POWDERING
BEST EACH‑WAY BET — SHALLOW
Shallow is the standout EW play based on your numbers.
Why Shallow is the EW standout
• Performance Score: 130 → 2nd highest
• Outstanding verdict
• Improver Spike: 4
• Top 4 Horses: 6
• EW Bet flag
• Win Prob: 9
• Consistency Index: 6
He’s not quite as complete as Powdering, but he’s the best place profile and likely to be a backable price.
Best EW Bet: SHALLOW
Rossendale £5 Staking Plan
• £3 WIN — Powdering
• £1.50 EW — Shallow
• £0.50 EW — Supreme King
A Small e/w on Ziggy`s Condor, one of my key horses in the race.
Hopefully better than yesteday. fell, fell p/u top 3.
16.30 Newbury Ratings
127 Robber`s Bridge
105 Glance Of Glory
86 Teorie
84 One Eye On Vegas
82 Cast`s Tasha
79 Luwdvig
73 Close Combat
71 De Kingpin
54 Balboa
47 Gustapof
42 Painted Wolf
24 Tyson
I have never rated this type of race before, See how it goes
Best Each‑Way Bet — GLANCE OF GLORY
Your sheet LOVES this one for EW purposes.
Why Glance of Glory is the EW standout
• Performance Score: 105
• Speed/Form Index: 117 → Massive
• Strong verdict
• Winner flag in your sheet
• Improver Spike: 16 → Biggest in the race
• Top 4 Horses: 10
• Market odds rank: 5 → EW value
• Profit horses: £0.46 → Positive#
EW BET: GLANCE OF GLORY
Final Verdict (Ratings Only)
WIN — Robber’s Bridge
E/W — Glance of Glory
Value EW — Teorie
15.35 Carlisle Ratings
117 Lady Babs
111 Soldier Leap
110 Russian Virtue
107 Two Auld Pals
106 He`s Bresilion
99 Vampire Slayer
98 Book Of Secrets
83 Azahara Palace
81 Dee`s Getaway
81 Swinging London
67 Celestial Reign
65 Rock Hurley
64 Fostered Phil
43 Interchangeable
BOOK OF SECRETS
Your ratings already had him top, and the comments don’t weaken that:
Comments say:
• “1‑19 over hurdles” (not ideal)
• BUT “close 2nd at Newton Abbot”
• AND “well beaten over C&D since”
Your ratings say:
• Outstanding
• Huge Improver Index (14)
• Top 4
• Winner flag
• High Performance Score (110)
• Strong Speed/Form Index
Synthesis:
The form comments are lukewarm, but your ratings absolutely love him, and the C&D defeat is already baked into your numbers.
He stays top selection. If running to old form could run well at a price.
Best Each‑Way Bet: LADY BABS
Your ratings had her as the clear EW standout, and the comments actually strengthen that angle.
Comments say:
• “Triple C&D winner”
• “Not in top form this season”
• “Others make more appeal”
Your ratings say:
• Outstanding
• EW Bet flag
• High consistency
• High performance score (117)
• Draw-adjusted speed positive
• Market odds rank suggests value
Synthesis:
The comments make her sound unfashionable — which is exactly what creates EW value.
Your numbers say she’s running far better than the formbook suggests.
Good old c/d form, so if running to the old form could be a small e/w outsider at a price
Win Saver Soldier Leap .
18.45 Southwell Ratings
102 Many A Star
75 Ormolulu
68 Filly One
65 Bulldog Drummond
64 Lir Speciale
57 Lucky Man
54 Admiral D
44 Minnesota Lad
43 Mojomaker
39 Mahato
36 Harry Did
35 Counsel
Form Guide
Many A Star : On last winning mark from Wolverhampton 6f class 4
e/w saver.
Ormolulu : Weakened over 7f at Southwell class 4, Down in distance today. so a e/w saver
Filly One : Ran on well last time, so could be a e/w saver bet at a price.
Top Performing Horses
Filly One: 66% win rate, 100% place rate, and 66% win rate on this distance.
Ormolulu: 40% win rate, 29% place rate, and 30% win rate on this distance.
Lucky Man: 50% win rate, 28% place rate, and 54% win rate on this distance.
Horses to Watch
Many A Star: 22% win rate, 18% place rate, and 17% win rate on this distance.
Lir Speciale: 20% win rate, 25% place rate, and 22% win rate on this distance.
Bulldog Drummond: 18% win rate, 15% place rate, and 20% win rate on this distance.
Win Bet: Place a win bet on Filly One or Ormolulu.
Each-Way Bet: Consider an each-way bet on Lucky Man or Many A Star.