15.45 Bath Ratings
131 Level Up
122 So Smart
113 Secret Handshikh
113 The Feminine Urge
105 Hidden Verse
97 Symbol Of Hope
97 Diamondinthesand
90 Dandy Dinmont
89 Twilight Madness
85 Call Time
70 Reporter
65 Tilsworth Ony Ta
40 Dragon God
Level Up Total 134
Why your model makes this the strongest win profile:
Distance: 8
Class: 7
Going: 9
C/D: 7
Speed: 9
Pace: 9
Constancy: 9
Jockey %: 10
Trainer %: 9
Suitability Score: 38.3 (elite)
This is the most complete profile in the race.
Your model sees no major weaknesses.
So Smart Total 118
Why your model sees this as the most reliable:
Constancy: 6
Form: 4
Fitness: 8
Jockey %: 8
Trainer %: 6
Market Movers: 3 (mild drift = stable)
Suitability: 25.5 (well suited)
This is the horse your model expects to run to its level.
Value Profile #1 The Feminine Urge (113)
Why:
Distance: 9
Class: 10
Going: 10
Form Last: 7
Pace: 5.65
Suitability Score: 37.45 (elite)
Market Movers: 6 (classic value signal)
15.20 Haydock Ratings
157 Minella Drama
153 Filanderer
152 The Flier Begley
146 Numitor
141 Courtland
133 Le Milos
132 Triple Trade
124 Dubai Days
121 Outlaw Pete
121 Guard Your Dreams
119 Whistleinthedark
98 The Widdow Maker
95 Neon Moon
94 Fugitif
84 Lord Baddesley
80 Genois
68 Dreal Deal
🏆 BEST WIN BET Minella Drama
Why:
Highest total score: 157
Form Last 10
Speed 10
Constancy 10
Pace 9 → perfect for this race
Trainer % 10
Performance Score 7
Speed Ratio 1 → efficient enough
This is the most complete profile in the race.
⭐ BEST EACH WAY BET Filanderer
Why:
Total 153
Form 9
Speed 6
Fitness 5
Pace 7
Speed Ratio 3 (excellent)
Trainer % 10
Performance Score 10
Win Prob 0.05 → big EW price
This is the classic EW horse:
Strong numbers
Strong efficiency
Strong trainer
Market will underrate him
⭐ Verdict:
Filanderer is the standout EW play rock solid place chance, live win chance.
🔥 BEST VALUE BET Numitor
Why:
Total 146
Speed 7
Form Last 7
Win Rate 13
Pace 7
Speed Ratio 1
Trainer % 6
Market Movers 3
Win Prob 0.02 → MASSIVE value
This is the exact pattern your model LOVES:
Strong numbers
Strong pace
Strong efficiency
Very low win probability → big odds
Market support → smart money sees it too
⭐ Verdict:
Numitor is the value bet overpriced relative to true chance.
15.42 Curragh Ratings
132 Independent Expert
131 Perry Mason
109 Engines On
107 Highbury See See
105 Key Witness
99 Playin Cool
87 Blues Emperor
83 Iron Fist
81 Vain Gloria
80 Quatre Bras
77 Genuine Article
63 Final Voyage
60 Dar Toungi
58 Lady Lilac
57 Dos Mukasan
56 Kibris
53 Calm The Jets
44 Diego El Queso
39 Westminster Moon
-3 Daonethatgotaway
-74 Gleneagle Bay
BEST WIN BET Independent Expert
✔ Total: 132
✔ Form Last: 10
✔ Speed: 13
✔ Fitness: 7
✔ Performance Score: 9
✔ Trainer 14: 6
✔ Speed Ratio: +6 (not ideal, but manageable)
✔ Pace: 8 (big advantage in this race)
This horse has the strongest combination of form, speed, consistency, and tactical pace.
He sits just behind the leaders and gets first run.
⭐ Verdict:
Independent Expert is the most likely winner.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET Perry Mason
✔ Total: 131
✔ Form Last: 10
✔ Speed: 11
✔ Fitness: 9
✔ Trainer %: 12
✔ Performance Score: 9
✔ Speed Ratio: 11 (excellent)
✔ Win Prob: 0.05 (big EW price)
✔ Market Movers: 1 (neutral)
This is the classic EW profile:
Strong numbers
Strong trainer
Elite speed ratio
Will be a bigger price than his true chance
⭐ Verdict:
Perry Mason is the standout EW play rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET Ferrous
✔ Total: 127
✔ Speed: 8
✔ Form Last: 8
✔ Pace: 7
✔ Speed Ratio: 5 (very strong)
✔ Trainer %: 7
✔ Market Movers: 7 (big positive)
✔ Win Prob: 0.04 (market underrating massively)
This is the value bomb:
Strong numbers
Strong pace
Strong efficiency
Very low win probability → big odds
Market support → smart money sees it too
⭐ Verdict:
Ferrous is the value bet overpriced relative to true chance.
3rd April Newcastle Ratings
150 Berkshire Whisper
136 Sarab Star
134 Pocklington
128 Marshman
128 El Bodon
127 Ferrous
107 Heathcliff
105 Sir Les Patterson
103 Si Darn Hot
100 Fivethousandtoone
98 Wiltshire
98 Valiant Force
87 Lakers
43 City House
🟩 3. BEST WIN BET
⭐ Berkshire Whisper
Why:
Highest total score: 150
Pace 7 → perfect for a fast‑run race
Draw 1 → dream position
Constancy 10 → reliable
Speed Ratio 4 → efficient
Trainer % 9
Win Rate 10
This is the most complete profile in the race.
✔ Verdict:
Berkshire Whisper is the most likely winner
BEST EACH‑WAY BET
⭐ Pocklington
Why:
Total 134
Form Last 8
Form 10
Pace 9 → sits handy
Speed Ratio 0 → neutral
Trainer 14 = 8
Win Rate 13
This horse is ultra‑consistent, tactically perfect, and always runs his race.
✔ Verdict:
Pocklington is the standout EW bet.
BEST VALUE BET (strong figures but market underrates)
⭐ Ferrous
Why:
Total 127
Speed 8
Form Last 8
Pace 7
Speed Ratio 5 (excellent)
Trainer % 7
Market Movers 7 → big positive
Win Prob 0.04 → MASSIVE value
Strong numbers
Strong pace
Strong efficiency
Low win probability → big price
Market support → smart money sees it too
✔ Verdict:
Ferrous is the value bet overpriced relative to true chance.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
High form
High consistency
Strong trainer
Excellent speed ratio
Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: 4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
Strong numbers
Strong speed
Strong form
Strong pace
Weak trainer % → bigger odds
Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
High form
High consistency
Strong trainer
Excellent speed ratio
Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: 4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
Strong numbers
Strong speed
Strong form
Strong pace
Weak trainer % → bigger odds
Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
High form
High consistency
Strong trainer
Excellent speed ratio
Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: 4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
Strong numbers
Strong speed
Strong form
Strong pace
Weak trainer % → bigger odds
Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
High form
High consistency
Strong trainer
Excellent speed ratio
Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: 4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
Strong numbers
Strong speed
Strong form
Strong pace
Weak trainer % → bigger odds
Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
High form
High consistency
Strong trainer
Excellent speed ratio
Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: 4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
Strong numbers
Strong speed
Strong form
Strong pace
Weak trainer % → bigger odds
Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
High form
High consistency
Strong trainer
Excellent speed ratio
Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: 4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
Strong numbers
Strong speed
Strong form
Strong pace
Weak trainer % → bigger odds
Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
High form
High consistency
Strong trainer
Excellent speed ratio
Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: 4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
Strong numbers
Strong speed
Strong form
Strong pace
Weak trainer % → bigger odds
Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.48 Southwell Ratings
136 Fortunate Star
129 Little Mi Mi
125 Street Life
119 Isla Bella
102 Okami
101 Arlington
96 Let`s Go Hugo
87 Silkie Robin
87 Colors Of Freedom
71 Master Zack
68 Auntie Jo
46 opal Storm
28 Jeany May
BEST WIN BET Fortunate Star
Total: 136 (highest in the race)
Form Last: 9
Speed: 9
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 4 (excellent)
Win Rate: 10
This is the most complete profile in the field.
Strong across every major pillar, no weaknesses, and the kind of horse your model consistently upgrades.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET Little Mi Mi
Total: 129
Form Last: 10
Form: 10
Speed: 7
Fitness: 5
Trainer %: 9
Performance Score: 8
Speed Ratio: 6 (very strong)
This is the classic EW horse:
High form
High consistency
Strong trainer
Excellent speed ratio
Not the favourite → value place price
✔ Verdict:
Little Mi Mi is the standout EW play rock‑solid place chance, live win chance.
BEST VALUE BET Street Life
Total: 125
Speed: 9
Fitness: 9
Form Last: 9
Pace: 7
Trainer %: 1 (market will underrate this)
Speed Ratio: 4
Market Movers: 5 (big positive)
This is the horse the market will get wrong:
Strong numbers
Strong speed
Strong form
Strong pace
Weak trainer % → bigger odds
Market Movers 5 → money coming anyway
This is exactly the profile that produces your 8/1, 10/1, 12/1 winners.
17.45 Dundalk Ratings
156 Sporting Hero17
143 Amemri
127 I`m Spartacus
113 Collective Power
109 Clonmarsh
107 Dontspoilasale
104 Rappell
87 Inishfallen
85 Beauty Queen
71 Mc Loven
39 Edmond Halley
-350 I Bid You Ajou
Sporting Hero (156 total)
This horse is absolutely loaded.
Highest total score in the race (156)
Course 6 / Distance 7 / Class 3 / Going 10 elite suitability
Wins 9 / Win Rate 10 proven
Form Last 10 peak form
Pace 8 strong
Trainer % 12 huge
Speed Ratio 2 efficient
Market Movers 7 positive signal
Also a key horse in the race of mine
2. Amemri NTO SILVER (143 total)
A very strong, consistent, improving type.
Course 5 / Distance 6 / Class 5 / Going 8 solid
Also A Key horse.
5. Clonmarsh OUTSIDER (109 total)
Not a top‑rated horse, but the profile has upside.
Why:
Form Last 10
Form 8
Pace 5
Trainer % 9
Trainer 14‑day 10
Speed Ratio 1 excellent
NTO Verdict:
Capable of surprising in a weak race.
3. Im Spartacus (127 total)
Not as strong as the top two, but the profile is sneaky good.
Why hes interesting:
Distance 8
Form Last 10
Fitness 5
Pace 6
Trainer % 7
Performance Score 9
Speed Ratio 5 workable
18.30 Wolverhampton Ratings
146 He`s A Gentleman
136 farsasi Lane
136 Habrdi
125 Harbour Vision
114 Chifa
110 Cephalus
108 Giorgio
108 Al Muqdad
105 Pearly Squirrel
75 Midnights Dream
65 Wolf OF Badenoch
54 Highland Olly
WIN BET: Hes A Gentleman
Most complete profile. Highest rating. Strong across all categories.
💰 E/W VALUE BET: Chifa
Strong going, strong speed, strong trainer/jockey, value angle.
🎯 LONGSHOT VALUE: Giorgio
Speed + jockey + consistency + drift = classic outsider profile.
20.30 Wolverhampton Ratings
135 Brinton
134 Wyvern
128 First Encounter
119 Captain Pickles
113 Arlecchino`s Rex
94 Sceptic
89 Take The A Train
77 Mooretown Lad
63 Like Magic
43 Princess Vivi
34 Mornin Suit
Best Win Bet: Brinton (135)
EW Saver: Wyvern (134
Value EW / Danger Horse: First Encounter (128)
Brinton ticks most boxes,, Wyvern also good form on the a/w .
Doncaster 17.50 Ratings
169 Thunder Star
146 Emperor Caradoc
143 Spoof
139 Charlie Mason
134 Juan Les Pins
133 Our Absent Friends
130 Thornaby Pearl
121 Impressor
110 Glory Hyde
109 Harry`s Halo
99 Fuji Mountain
97 I Need Your Love
94 Vince L`Amour
92 J Street
91 The Fixer
81 Yes I`m mali
71 Ay Gee Eli
69 My Mate Kev
BEST WIN BET Thunder Star (169)
Highest Total by a huge margin
Massive Weighted Speed
Strong Speed/Going
High Pace
High Win Rate
Strong Performance Score
Strong Trainer %
Strong Jockey %
High Consistency
High C/D
High Class
High Going
High Distance
This is the most complete profile in the race.
Your model is screaming WIN BET.
BEST EACH‑WAY SAVER Emperor Caradoc (146)
Why Emperor Caradoc over Spoof?
Better Class
Better Distance
Better C/D
Better Fitness
Better Jockey %
Better Trainer %
Higher Speed Form Index
Higher Performance Score
More stable profile
Lower volatility
This is the safer EW profile.
VALUE EW / DANGER HORSE Spoof (143)
Spoof is:
Very strong on Speed
Very strong on Pace
Very strong on Weighted Speed
Very strong on Performance Score
Very strong on Market Movers
But
Volatile
Inconsistent
Negative Going
Negative Course
Negative Distance
Negative Headgear
Negative Fitness
This is the classic danger horse:
Can win
Can blow out
Must be respected in forecasts
Perfect for value EW or cover bets
Your danger‑system would flag him instantly.
Doncaster Lincoln Ratings
163 Rouge Diplomat
146 Thunder Roar
145 Eternal Force
133 Shout
121 Urdan Lion
119 Botanical
119 Great Acclaim
127 Christian David
117 Anno Domini
117 Alpha Crucis
109 La Trinidad
108 La Botte
108 Tribal Chief
109 Greek Order
109 Orandi
103 Volvano
93 Theoryofeverthing
97 Mirabeau
99 Bopedro
91 Tarkhan
90 Metal Merchant
79 Galeron
Thundre Roar , Rouge Diplomat, shout, Eternal Force. look like the horse to have a small punt on, due to their old turf form.
See how the rating go on the start of the turf season.
19.00 Newcastle Ratings
140 Twilight Fun
134 Paddy`s Day
130 Badri
120 Hockney
116 Venture Capital
111 Wicket Keeper
107 Power Fizz
92 Sergeant Wilko
88 Mister Blubird
81 Roberto Caro
74 Rousing Encore
62 Wheels Of Fire
57 Twilight Calls
40 Andesite
BEST WIN BET Paddys Day (136)
Your model strongly favours him:
Highest final score
Strong weighted speed
High performance score
Strong improvement
Good win probability
Good stability
Good constancy
Low negative adjustments
Hes the most complete profile in the race.
BEST EACH‑WAY SAVER Twilight Fun (132)
Why Twilight Fun over Badri?
Your model shows:
Higher Speed/Going
Higher Weighted Speed
Higher Improver Spike
Higher Volatility (EW horses often have volatility)
Better Constancy
Better Stability Rating
Better Projected Speed
Twilight Fun is the safer EW profile.
VALUE EW / DANGER HORSE Badri (131)
Badri is:
Very strong on performance score
Strong on speed
Strong on improvement
Strong on jockey/trainer
Strong on win probability
But
Higher volatility
Lower constancy
More negative adjustments
This makes him a danger horse rather than a safe EW saver.
Exactly the type your danger‑system is designed to flag.
17.07 Southwell Ratings
93 Blackjack
93 Ramon Di Loria
88 Good Earth
78 Travel Agent
76 Insuspense
72 Beelzebub
70 Ziggy`s Angel
70 Winchurch
67 Rock Of England
37 Dragon God
WIN BET: BLACKJACK
Why?
Highest Final Score (101)
Strongest speed cluster
Strongest consistency
Strongest stability
Strongest improver profile
Already flagged as Value Bet in your sheet
Best complete profile in the race
This is the horse your model is screaming for.
Best EACH‑WAY Saver
E/W SAVER: RAMON DI LORIA
Why?
High speed
High consistency
High improvement
Very strong EW profile
Final Score 96 (2nd highest)
Low volatility → reliable placer
This is the safest EW horse in the race.
DANGER: INSUSPENSE
Why?
Massive improver profile
High volatility (can spike)
Strong speed
Not reliable enough for main bet
But absolutely capable of outrunning odds
This is the dont leave it out of exotics horse.
15.11 Hexham Ratings
130 Smart Decision
125 Eddie My Eagle
117 He`s Bresilian
116 Fromheretoetenity
105 The Cistercain
90 Freddie Robinson
86 That One
83 Caramelo Rapido
82 Bust A Move
73 Dee`s Getaway
51 Goldwyn
38 barrakilla Vage
Form Guide
1st over c/d off 7lbs less, Jockey takes off 7lbs, so is well handicapped. Win e/w
These horses consistently appear in the top tier of your metrics:
Eddie My Eagle
Hes Bresilian
Fromheretoetenity
Each has strengths, but none match Smart Decisions all‑round profile.
Value‑style profiles
These horses have solid numbers but may be underestimated:
The Cistercain
Freddie Robinson
trying to get my hat trick of winners this week, Today is harder.
19.00 Wolverhampton Ratings
125 Dr Ali
118 Tommytwohoots
108 Black Cab
104 Lynwood Lad
102 Walking On Clouds
100 Stroxx
100 Bernie The Bear
84 Port Hedland
83 Bernard Spierpoint
56 My Mate Beattie
55 Big Time Rascal
Best Win Bet: Dr Ali (125)
Why?
Highest weighted speed
Strong form
High consistency
Good jockey/trainer indicators
Strong performance score
Positive speed/going match
He is the clear top‑rated.
Black Cab
But the best EW saver is the one with:
High score
High place potential
Strong consistency
Strong speed/going match
Each‑Way Saver: Tommytwohoots (118)
Why?
Very strong speed
Good form
Good consistency
Good draw
Strong trainer %
High performance score
Only 7 points behind the top horse
Hes the most reliable runs his race type.
13.25 Nass Ratings
117 Tai Tam Bay
115 Magical Vision
113 Mickey The Steel
104 Noble Nation
104 Kilmood Susan
85 Mehmar
79 Zabriskie Point
79 Mc Loven
78 Sovereign Banter
75 Reposado
70 Exceeding
59 Heart Of Eternity
55 Eichan San
54 Fontaine Khaled
51 Edmond Hatley
24 Unfamilier
Form Guide
There are 3 horses in the race from my ratings at the Curragh , Mickey The Steel , Tai Tam Bay.
Tai Tam Bay came 2nd in the rated race keeping on at the end with a 7lbs claimer on board, Mickey the steel came 3rd, Mehmar 6th at Dundalk on the a/w . But won over c/d off 10lbs higher.
Magical Vision 1st at the Currragh off 3lbs less over 5f.
So the horse mentioned above could be the ones to concentrate on, e/w saver and win saver on Tai Tam Bay.
16.28 Southwell Ratings
142 Gaeli
138 Fahrenheit Seven
123 Ziggy`s Triton
122 Clearpoint
120 Rhyrhm N Hooves
105 Kylian
101 Spartan Arrow
95 Against The Wind
90 Clarendon House
81 Miss Attitude
73 Vintage Clarets
70 Brosay
Win bet: Gaeli
Why Gaeli is the strongest win candidate
Highest Total rating in the field (142)
Elite Speed (10) and Form (10)
Strong Going match (Speed/Going 9)
High Fitness and C/D indicators
Consistent profile with no major negatives
Trainer % and Jockey % both solid
This is the horse your model trusts most on pure ability, consistency, and suitability.
Win bet alternative: Fahrenheit Seven
Fahrenheit Seven is extremely close to Gaeli and would be the win pick in many races. The difference is small, but Gaelis going match and constancy give him the edge.
Why Fahrenheit Seven is still a major threat
Total 138 (just behind Gaeli)
Very strong Speed (10), Form (10), and Performance Score (7)
High Jockey % and Trainer %
Strong consistency indicators
Only slight negatives in Market Movers and Going Allowance
If the race shape turns tactical or the early pace is steadier than expected, Fahrenheit Seven becomes the main danger.
Best each‑way bet: Ziggys Triton
Ziggys Triton is the standout value horse. He sits below the top two on Total but has the strongest combination of Pace, Speed/Going, and Win Prob among the mid‑tier runners.
Why Ziggys Triton is the best E/W saver
Total 123 (competitive)
Speed/Going 8.95 (excellent match)
Pace 6 (ideal for a mid‑division or stalker profile)
Form 9 and Performance Score 10 (major positives)
Win Prob 10 (your models internal confidence spike)
Market Movers 1 (value indicator)
This is the exact profile that often outruns the top two if the race shape suits.
17.10 Dundalk 20th March Ratings
157 Inishmont Prince
151 I`m Spartacus
139 Clonmacash
138 Mehman
135 Collective ower
130 Oxford Circus
117 Dontspoilasale
115 Sporting Hero
92 Venetian
89 Inishfallen
81 Beauty Queen
70 Alfred Tennyson
Strong Win Candidates:
Mehman, Clonmacash, Dontspoilasale, Im Spartacus
Value EW:
Oxford Circus, Inishmot Prince
Forecast / Tricast Core:
Mehman Clonmacash Dontspoilasale
19.30 Kempton Ratings
136 Sea Founder
128 Atmosphere
127 Billy Mill
121 Final Night
113 Jazzy Baby
107 Valentine Boy
96 Caph Star
95 Rey De La Batalla
94 Arantes Nascimento
87 Rhythm N Rock
81 Midnight`s Dream
78 The Hare Rail
62 McKenna
Top Win Bet: Sea Founder
Why this one stands out:
Highest total score: 136 clear top‑rated.
Strong across Speed, Form, Fitness, Jockey %, Trainer %, Pace.
Very few weak categories.
Consistency Index and Speed/Going both high → reliable profile.
Verdict:
➡️ WIN BET the most complete profile in the field.
Secondary Win / Strong EW: Atmosphere (128)
Why:
2nd‑highest total score.
Very strong Win Rate, Jockey %, Trainer %, Speed, Form.
A couple of mid‑range ratings but no major red flags.
Verdict:
➡️ WIN or EW dependable and well‑balanced.
Value Win/EW: Billy Mill (127)
Why:
Only 1 point behind Atmosphere.
Excellent C/D, Wins, Places, Speed, Form, Constancy.
Looks like a horse that performs consistently at the track/trip.
Verdict:
➡️ EW with win potential especially if the market underestimates him.
Each‑Way Value Picks
These arent top‑rated overall, but they have angles that make them dangerous at a price. Final Night (121)
High Form, Pace, Speed/Going, Trainer %.
Slightly inconsistent but has winning tools.
➡️ EW especially if the price is double‑figures.
Jazzy Baby (113)
Good Speed, Form, Pace, Trainer 14, Drawn.
Lower total score but strong in the right categories for a place.
➡️ EW sneaky profile.
Valentine Boy (107)
18.00 Wolverhampton Ratings 17th March
136 Bomb Squad
135 Ramon Di Loria
122 Von Krolock
116 Lucky Man
112 Landlordtothestars
97 Poke The Bear
83 Punchbowl Flyer
73 King David
69 Crystal Dagger
67 Amelia`s Joy
57 Pickersgill
1. Bomb Squad (22.9%) strongest win candidate
High Total, strong Win Prob, no negative market signal.
make him the win bet.
2. Ramon Di Loria (21.5%) almost joint‑top
Very similar profile to Bomb Squad.
High consistency, strong speed, reliable.
3. Von Krolock (19.8%) the big value horse
This is the most important insight:
High Win Prob (5)
Positive market move (+2)
Strong Pace (7)
Strong Speed/Going (4)
Strong Form
This is exactly the type of horse that outruns his Total rating.
4. Lucky Man (16.8%) the pace‑fit danger
Lucky Man has:
High Win Prob (4)
Positive market move (+2)
Strong Pace (5)
Strong Speed/Going (5)
High Form (7)
This is a Salacious‑type profile:
A horse who can beat the model if the race shape suits.
5. Punchbowl Flyer (5.8%) long‑shot improver
Low Total but:
Win Prob 4
Market Movers +2
Strong Speed (9)
Strong Pace (6)
This is a classic hidden danger
20.30 Wolverhampton Ratings
142 Kento
141 Lion Ring
117 Kipp Kelly
105 Second Collection
105 Captain Kinsella
85 Global Effort
81 Phil`s Dream
46 Moonhall Lass
41 Coco Hill
Win Bet
Kento
Highest adjusted probability, strong consistency, strong speed/going match.
Each‑Way Saver
Kipp Kelly
Best value in the race: high internal confidence, no negative market drift, and a strong Total rating.
Danger Horse
Lion Ring
Almost joint‑top on ability, but market drift suggests he may be slightly overbet.
Long‑shot place value
Phils Dream
Improving, stable, and under‑the‑radar.
14.35 Curragh Ratings Sunday
113 Smoke Them Out
99 Mickey The Steel
91 Jon Riggens
81 Merisi Diamond
70 Secret Magician
70 Winemaker
68 Tai Tam Bay
67 Usuario Amigo
54 Green Icon
52 Salacious
50 Go Out
47 Two And Two
Best Win Bet Smoke Them Out
Smoke Them Out stands out across the strongest predictive layers:
Best Each‑Way Saver Mickey The Steel
Mickey The Steel is the clearest value horse in the field.
Live Danger Horse (optional saver) Jon Riggens
Not a main bet, but worth noting:
Start of the Irish Turf season, so having a go at rating the race to see how my ratings go.
16.35 Newcastle Ratings
134 Hawkseye View
128 Mobile Mamma
112 The Jad Factor
118 Athair Mor
111 Halfway House Lad
98 Goododbill
93 Swallows Song
80 Lord De Vinci
72 Alltalknoaction
71 Eveque
50 Aill Dubh
Risk notes and tactical adjustments
If Hawkseye View shows negative market movement or a late jockey/trainer change, reduce the win stake and shift some units to Mobile Mamma each‑way.
If each‑way terms are generous (1/4 odds, 4 places), consider increasing Mobile Mamma to 1.5 units each‑way as a saver.
If you prefer a single‑ticket conservative approach: 1 unit win Hawkseye View + 1 unit each‑way Mobile Mamma.
14.25 Uttoxeter Ratings
147 A Poi De Nom
146 French Ship
141 John Barbour
133 Keable
130 Santos Blue
128 Red Risk
125 Hartington
118 Just Golden
117 King Of The Lake
107 Nab Wood
105 Jurancon
103 Twig
96 Thank You Ma`am
85 Hidden History
73 Roaring Conquest
72 Doughmore Bay
71 Ontheropes
⭐ A Poi De Nom
⭐ French Ship
⭐ John Barbour
These are the most complete profiles in the race.
Among them:
A Poi De Nom has the highest Total rating.
French Ship has the strongest trainer/jockey combination.
John Barbour has the best suitability. Nie e/w saver bet
Those are the three your model highlights most strongly.
14.00 Cheltenham Ratings
189 Wilful
181 Sinnatra
166 Jubilee Alpha
159 Absurde
156 Bowensonfire
146 Ooh Betty
143 Cracking Rhapsody
134 Tripoli Flyer
134 Karbau
127 Sticktotheplan
124 Murcia
120 Sixandahalf
117 Hello Neighbour
115 Secret Squirrel
114 Jayeuse
112 Williethebuilder
107 Bowmore
105 Ndaawi
96 Helvic Dream
95 hamlet`s Night
88 Pinot Gris
83 Tellherthename
76 Gibbs Island
74 Balko d Angel
Win bet: Wilful
Wilful is the strongest horse in the entire dataset by a clear margin.
Why Wilful is the win bet
Total Score: 189 (highest in the race)
Elite Speed (14), Form (13), Performance (14)
Very high Constancy (15)
Strong Pace (22)
Strong Trainer % (14)
Strong Jockey % (11)
No weaknesses in any category
Top‑tier suitability across class, going, and distance
This is the most complete, most reliable, and most dominant profile in the race.
WIN BET: WILFUL
Each‑way saver #1: Sinnatra
Sinnatra is the closest challenger and the most reliable place horse.
Why Sinnatra is the top EW saver
Total Score: 181 (2nd highest)
Elite Speed (15) and Form (12)
Strong Constancy (13)
Strong Trainer % (10)
Strong Jockey % (10)
Very high Pace (22)
No volatility flags
This is the most likely horse to chase Wilful home and a very strong top‑3 probability.
E/W SAVER #1: SINNATRA
Each‑way saver #2: Jubilee Alpha
Jubilee Alpha is the best value each‑way horse in the race.
Why Jubilee Alpha is the value EW
Total Score: 166 (clear 3rd)
Strong Speed (12), Form (13), Performance (11)
Very high Constancy (14)
Strong Trainer % (15)
Strong Jockey % (8)
Excellent suitability profile
This is the safest third horse in the race and a strong place candidate.
E/W SAVER #2: JUBILEE ALPHA
💰 Each‑way saver #3 (value): Absurde
Absurde is the best-priced improver and a strong place threat.
Why Absurde is the value improver
Total Score: 159
Strong Speed (9), Form (10), Performance (10)
Good Constancy (10)
Strong Trainer % (13)
Strong Jockey % (10)
Very solid pace and suitability
This is the horse most likely to hit the frame at a bigger price.
E/W SAVER #3: ABSURDE
4.00 Cheltenham Ratings
177 Gold Dancer
173 Jordon`s Cross
165 Stencil
163 Kiss Will
158 Regent`s Stroll
158 Slade Steel
156 Moon Rocket
156 King Alexander
155 The Bluesman
149 Kdeux Saint Fray
148 meetmebythesea
139 Wingman
130 Western Knight
104 Ben Solo
102 Ol Man Dingle
100 Dr Eggman
94 Where`s My Jet
55 Intense Approach
Win Bet: Gold Dancer
Gold Dancer is the strongest profile in the entire field:
Total Score: 177 (highest in the race)
Elite Speed (11), Form (11), Performance (12)
Very high Constancy (15)
Strong Pace (22)
Strong Trainer % (12) and Jockey % (11)
No weaknesses in any category
Consistent across all conditions
This is the most complete, balanced, and reliable winning profile.
WIN BET: GOLD DANCER
Each‑Way Saver #1: Jordons Cross
Jordons Cross is the closest challenger to Gold Dancer:
Total Score: 173 (2nd highest)
Strong Speed (9), Form (10), Performance (9)
Very high Constancy (13)
Strong Pace (22)
Good Trainer % (9) and Jockey % (8)
No major negatives
This is the most reliable horse to hit the frame and the most likely to chase Gold Dancer home.
E/W SAVER #1: JORDONS CROSS
Each‑Way Saver #2: Stencil
Stencil is the best value each‑way horse in the race:
Total Score: 165 (clear 3rd)
Very balanced profile:
Speed: 9
Form: 9
Performance: 10
Constancy: 12
Strong Trainer % (10)
Strong Pace (26)
No volatility flags
Stencil is the safest third horse in the race and a strong place candidate.
E/W SAVER #2: STENCIL
14.40 Cheltenham Ratings
214 Storm Heart
208 Ballyadam
200 Jingko Blue
198 The yellow Clay
189 Forty Coats
187 Kateira
186 Guard Duty
186 Give It To Me Oj
181 Iberico Lord
180 Chart Topper
180 Beckett Rock
177 Farren Glory
173 Colonel Mustard
172 Minella Rescue
168 Kopeck De Mee
161 Lucky Place
159 Rambo T
126 Puturhandstogether
119 Franciscan Rock
107 Bunting
105 Buddy One
95 Sony Bill
83 Dargiannini
46 HMS Seahorse
Storm Heart (214)
Elite Speed, Going, C/D, Draw, and Constancy
Strong Form + Jockey/Trainer metrics
No weaknesses in the table
→ Your models most complete horse. A legitimate win bet.
Ballyadam (208)
Very high Class, Course, Distance, and Form
Trainer % and Jockey % excellent
Slightly lower Speed/Going match than Storm Heart
→ Rock‑solid, especially if the race conditions favour experience.
Jingko Blue (200)
Huge Form and Draw scores
Strong Jockey Course and Trainer Course
Market Mover: 1, meaning slight drift
→ Still a major contender, but not as bulletproof as Storm Heart.
Win Bets
1. Storm Heart
2. Ballyadam
3. Jingko Blue
Each‑Way Value
1. The Yellow Clay
2. Forty Coats
3. Kateira
Danger Horses (include in forecasts/tricasts)
1. Iberico Lord
2. Beckett Rock
3. Farren Glory
16.40 Cheltenham Ratings
166 Vanderpoel
140 Calico
137 Rubaud
137 Personal Ambition
131 Jour d`Evasion
124 Jazzy Matty
119 Touch Me Not
117 Be Aware
113 Inthepocket
112 Relieved Of Duties
110 Break My Soul
104 Western Diego
104 The Other Mozzie
97 Boothill
95 Ballysax Hank
92 Addragoole
88 Martator
83 Jasko Des Dames
83 Release The Beast
73 Special Cadeau
57 Ryan`s Rocket
47 Golden Joy
Vanderpoel
Your models clear #1 strongest speed, form, and consistency.
Calico & Rubaud
Both have strong class + speed + reliability profiles.
Personal Ambition
Very balanced strong form, strong pace, strong suitability.
Jour dEvasion
Improving profile, strong form, good pace a live each‑way player.
WIN
1. Vanderpoel
2. Calico
3. Rubaud
EACH‑WAY
1. Personal Ambition
2. Jour dEvasion
3. Jazzy Matty
15.20 Cheltenham Ratings
258 Iroko
223 Jagwar
179 Leave Of Absence
178 Myretown
160 Imerial Saint
159 Blow Your Wad
156 The Doyen Chief
151 Konfusion
151 Handstands
143 Resplendent Grey
135 Blaze The way
133 Hyland
133 Filanderer
131 Quebecois
120 Knight Of Allen
106 Margaret`s Legacy
92 Johnnywho
91 Search For Glory
89 Eyed
85 Stolen Silver
71 The Short Go
71 Patters Merchant
Summary
WIN BET
IROKO
EACH‑WAY BETS
1. Jagwar
2. Leave Of Absence
3. Myretown
STRONGEST EACH‑WAY BET: JAGWAR
Jagwar is the standout each‑way horse because:
Total Score: 223 (clear 2nd)
Very high Constancy (15)
Very high Pace (20)
Strong SpeedForm Index (12)
Strong Performance Score (10)
Good Form Last Time (12)
Race‑card comment:
Won the Plate here last year; this new trip could prompt improvement.
This is the perfect each‑way profile:
consistent, improving, strong course form, strong pace, strong speed.
SECOND EACH‑WAY BET: LEAVE OF ABSENCE
Your model loves him:
Weighted Speed: 20 (joint highest in the race)
Strong Constancy (17)
Strong Pace (17)
Good SpeedForm Index (13)
Good Performance Score (9)
Race‑card comment:
Not disgraced in Grade 2; not ruled out each‑way back in a handicap.
This is the classic strong speed + strong consistency + class drop
THIRD EACH‑WAY BET: HYLAND
Hyland is the sleeper in your numbers:
Total Score: 133 (mid‑pack but misleading)
Strong Weighted Speed (10)
Good Form Last Time (9)
Good Constancy (7)
Good SpeedForm Index (13)
Race‑card comment:
3‑5 here and close fourth at Ascot; could be in the mix.
Cheltenham course form + staying power + consistency = each‑way danger.
E/W BET #3: HYLAND
16.02 Nass Ratings
153 Goraibhmaithagot
132 Uhavemeinstiches
126 High Class hero
114 Bushmans Pass
104 Shanbally Kid
101 Grandero Bello
100 Harvard Guy
98 Sa Majeste
91 Ballybow
91 Kinturk Kalanisi
88 Buachailbocht
86 Velvet Elvis
80 Prophet`s Corner
78 Built By Ballymore
67 Chosen Witness
63 The Lovely Man
1. Goraibhmaithagat
The strongest form horse in the race.
Landed a gamble in a Listed handicap here last time.
Beat several of todays rivals decisively.
Up 7lb but still looks well treated on the evidence of that win.
Highest Weighted Speed, Speed, Form, and Total in your sheet.
This is the clearest top of the form tree runner.
2. Uhavemeinstitches
Consistent, progressive, and reliable.
Debut chase winner.
Has run well in defeat since.
Comes here instead of the Kim Muir a strong placement signal.
High Speed/Going, strong Form, and a high Total score.
A very solid form horse with no major negatives.
Bushmans Pass
Last years winner with a strong form base.
Won this race off 127 last year.
Seasonal return was below best, but thats typical for him.
Back to defend his title and now fitter.
Strong Form, Consistency, and a high Total relative to the field.
On form alone, he edges the rest of the second tier.
Bucksy Des Epeires
This is the most obvious volatility horse.
Had fallen in the weights before winning at Ludlow.
That win showed a big spike compared to previous runs.
Still on a workable mark → upside remains.
Profile: low reliability, high improvement swing, capable of a big run.
Your volatility formula will push him strongly into the E/W shortlist.
14.27 Sandown Ratings
135 Fingle Bridge
128 Star Of Guiting
123 Rubber Ball
119 Go Dante
118 Top Jimmy
108 Game Colours
107 Gooloogong
102 General Briar
98 Jack Hyde
95 We`re Red And blue
95 Mondo Man
93 Spirits Bay
92 Afadil
87 Bubble Dubai
98 Jack Hyde
95 We`re Red And blue
95 Mondo Man
93 Spirits Bay
92 Afadil
87 Bubble Dubai
79 No Ordinary Joe
63 Wreckless Eric
53 Brace For Landing
27 Messerschmitt
Win Score Race (top win candidates)
1. Go Dante Course specialist; wind op; strong Ability + Condition.
2. Star Of Guiting Progressive; improving; strong Speed/Form.
3. General Briar Unexposed; big upside.
4. Top Jimmy Solid recent form; reliable.
Each‑Way (volatility‑boosted)
1. Gooloogong Massive volatility; huge upside; dangerous at a price.
2. Jack Hyde Reliable placer; strong consistency.
3. Afadil Proven in the race; stable profile.
4. Wreckless Eric Well handicapped; placed last year.
5. Rubber Ball Form swings; dangerous if repeating last run.
17.12 Dundalk Friday Ratings
159 Lohore Da King
141 Nikki Swango
131 Notforalongtime
122 Battle Borne
122 Una Matata
118 Blue Anthem
114 Perfect Judgement
111 Mehman
107 Clanmacash
102 Howyoulikethat
82 Beauty Queen
73 Rockbury Lad
68 Alfred Tennyson
44 Desert haven
Form Guide
Money ing on Nikki Swango so could be the saver
Notforalongtime ticks a lot of boxes. so could be the good outsider e/w bet.
Win saver on the top rated.
19.30 Newcastle Ratings
157 Caston
156 Digital
153 Harb
144 Lion`s House
141 Our Absent friends
133 Blue Force
112 Water Of Leith
99 Juan Les Pins
96 Dark Kestrel
79 Moonshine Boy
76 Albegone
64 Pop Star
Lions House is the clear model favourite, driven by high improvement, strong perfom Ajust, and top Ability.
Caston, Digital, Our Absent Friends, and Blue Force form a tight cluster of co‑second favourites your model sees them as almost identical threats.
Harb, Water of Leith, Juan Les Pins are legitimate place contenders with small but meaningful win chances.
Moonshine Boy, Albegone, Pop Star have limited winning profiles but can run into the frame.
Dark Kestrel would need an extreme race shape to win.
Lion House looks the winner on form, Caston and Our Absent friends could be the e/w bets, also a reverse tricast on the above 3
18.00 Kempton Ratings
1. Im Working On It 130.
2. Advancing 113.
3. Mr Baloo 113.
4. Miletus 106.
5. Midnight Dream 101.
6. Shihoku 100.
7. Elouises Prince 91.
8. Harvey 89.
9. Cavolo Nero 84.
10. Helm Rock 78.
11. Good Speed 63.
Rossendale Value‑Bet Shortlist (Final)
1. Miletus
2. Midnight Dream
3. Shihoku
4. Elouises Prince
5. Cavolo Nero (each‑way)
Final Rossendale Value‑Bet Shortlist
1. Miletus true price 9/2
2. Midnight Dream true price 11/2
3. Shihoku true price 6/1
4. Elouises Prince true price 15/2
5. Cavolo Nero true price 10/1 (each‑way)
Highest‑probability tricasts
Miletus → Midnight Dream → Shihoku
Miletus → Shihoku → Midnight Dream
Midnight Dream → Miletus → Shihoku
Shihoku → Miletus → Midnight Dream
Value tricasts (big prices but logical)
Cavolo Nero → Miletus → Midnight Dream
Cavolo Nero → Midnight Dream → Shihoku
Cavolo Nero → Elouises Prince → Miletus
16.02 Southwell Ratings
151 Azure Angel
122 Spring Is Sprung
120 Rhythm N Hooves
111 Venture Capital
107 Ziggy`s Triton
105 Baldomero
105 Fivethousandtoone
86 Pilgrim
82 Equality
77 Mon Na Slive
47 Gaeli
Azure Angel becomes the clear top pick because its race‑profile Total (148) is far higher than the rest.
Spring Is Sprung and Rhythm N Hooves remain strong because their class layer boosts them. e/w
Ziggys Triton, Venture Capital, and Fivethousandtoone form a tight mid‑pack cluster. e/w
Gaeli is a long way behind both layers score low.
18.30 Wolverhampton Ratings
162 Beauzon
139 Macarone
130 Havana Sky
115 Lucky Man
112 Mart
112 Initial Blue
107 Due Date
97 Woodhay Whisper
74 Dicko the Legend
62 Punchbowl Flyer
Small bankroll approach:
Beauzon 3 units win.
Macarone 1 unit win; 1 unit each‑way (if 1/4 or 1/5 terms).
Mart and Due Date 0.5 unit each‑way.
Higher risk / higher reward: shift 1 unit from Beauzon to Punchbowl Flyer or Initial Blue each‑way.
16.25 Leopardstown Ratings
131 The Wallpark
130 Dreal Deal
130 Jordans
127 Gorgeous Tom
121 Ballybawn Belter
120 Broomfield Bijou
106 Quai De Bourbon
106 O`Toole
101 Monbeg Park
90 Moon d`Orange
82 An Peann Dearg
80 Fishery Lane
60 Binge Worthy
59 Invictus Machin
53 Digby
43 Indiana Jones
The Wallpark : Good weighted spedd, going form. win saver
Dreal Deal : Shown good speed e/w
Jordons : ticks a feww boxes, so win saver and a small e/w ,
Gorgeous Tom : Also ticks a few boxes. win, e/w saver
14.55 Kelso Ratings
151 Spectacularsunrise
133 Lucky Manifest
132 Captain Hugo
123 Hot Fuss
120 Dedicated Hero
118 Serious Operator
117 Cracking Rhapsody
110 Serious Challenge
107 Bertie's Ballet
104 Hamlet's Night
102 City of Diamonds
98 Wise Eagle
93 Jet to Vegas
86 Heart Above
81 Laafi
59 Quaviste
56 Bespoke Tailor
Best Bet Spectacularsunrise
Confidence: 9/10 (Very High)
Spectacularsunrise is the Rossendale banker.
Why the model loves him:
Total: 151 (highest in the race)
Speed: elite
Form: elite
Consistency Index: 15 (top of the field)
Performance Score2: 120
Future Rating: 11
Win Prob2: 13
Jockey/Trainer synergy: strong
Winner + Top 4 flags
Above Avg confidence
Hamlets Night 104 Total
Above Avg
Future Rating: 9
Consistent
A solid EW option at a price.
Value Sleeper City of Diamonds
Confidence: 7/10
City of Diamonds is the ratings sleeper:
Total: 102
Performance Score2: 30
Future Rating: 10
Win Prob2: 13
Winner tag
Top 4 flagged
If the market overlooks him, hes the one who could blow the race open.
14.42 Lingfield Ratings
135 Party Bear
133 Lady Manzor
131 Brazilian Rose
119 Mereside Diva
117 Penelope Valentine
96 Bridget`s View
90 Ziggy`s Queen
90 Bear Rock
82 Powdering
77 Enola Grey
63 Cartwheel
Win focus:
Party Bear, Brazilian Rose, Lady Manzor
EW / place focus:
Mereside Diva, Penelope Valentine, Ziggys Queen
Speculative EW only if big price:
Powdering
Horses you dont need onside:
Cartwheel, plus Bear Rock / Bridgets View as low‑priority.
19.00 Chelmsford Ratings
128 Flicka`s Girl
109 Poetic Jack
86 Dark Sorcerss
80 Hannah`s Return
70 Tilsworth Only Ta
69 Lynwood Lad
59 Beautiful Things
48 Little Miss Magic
43 Henry Tudor
34 Magic Fluke
Flickas Girl
Tagged Winner, Outstanding, Top 4.
High Weighted Speed (128), strong Speed/Form Index, high consistency.
One of the few with positive Performance Score2 and Best Horses flags.
Poetic Jack
Tagged Strong, Top 4, EW Bet.
High Form, strong Speed/Going, good Trainer/Jockey percentages.
Market Movers positive.
These two form the core of the race.
EW Value
These horses dont top the ratings but have improving profiles or strong single metrics.
Dark Sorceress
High Speed/Form, strong consistency, good pace.
Lower Performance Score but improving.
Hannahs Return
Tagged Outstanding.
Good Form, good consistency, improving profile.
These are the EW or place‑value types.
14.42 Lingfield Ratings
129 Street Life
116 The Defiant
108 Second Collection
102 Manhatton Chute
101 Coolagh Magic
91 Desdemona
86 Bluebells Boy
85 Honour Your Dreams
82 Dubai Magic
74 Tomarlo
Top 4 Horses
1. Manhatton Chute Probable Winner
2. Street Life Strong numbers, high performance, Top 4 flag
3. Tomarlo Strong, consistent, high tactical score
4. Desdemona Above average, reliable, strong Speed/Form Index
Final Summary
This race revolves around Manhatton Chute.
If he runs to his numbers, he wins.
If he underperforms, Street Life is the most likely to capitalise.
For value, The Defiant and Second Collection are the EW angles.
Tomarlo is the danger if the race turns tactical.
15.42 Newcastle Ratings
160 Blue lakota
135 Dandy Magic
134 Novak
128 True Promise
116 Fan Mail
115 The Green Man
112 Beale Street
110 Grant Wood
93 Kitaab
91 Alpine Girl
86 Showtime Mahomes
80 Maxi Boy
Blue Lakota
Highest performance score
High weighted speed
Strong consistency
Market resistant
Top‑4 + EW flagged
Draw adjusted speed strong
Best Speed Horse
Beale Street
Highest raw speed (88)
Strong draw
Trainer course angle positive
If the race sets up for speed, this one becomes dangerous.
DANDY MAGIC Best E/W Bet
Performance Score: 135 (2nd overall behind Blue Lakota, but
This is the horse that ticks every EW box:
✔ Strong speed
✔ Strong form
✔ Strong trainer
✔ Strong pace
✔ Consistent
✔ Market‑friendly
✔ High performance score
✔ Your model explicitly tags it as EW Bet
Key Horses at Newcastle
Pallas Lad e/w 16.12
JKR Cobbler 16.42
How`s The Guvnor 17.42
18.00 Wolverhampton Ratings
133 Ramon Di Loria
126 Von Krolock
114 River Wharfe
113 Pofrin
110 Amaysmont
98 Bad Habits
83 Buttercross Flyer
78 Romanovich
75 Lhebayeb
43 Rambusco Creek
1. Ramon Di Loria The Clear Win Bet
Why hes the standout:
Highest Performance Score (135)
Strongest Form + Speed combination
High consistency
Excellent tactical numbers
Trend: Improving
Verdict:
He has the most complete profile in the race. If he runs to his marks, he wins.
1. Pofrin Rock‑Solid E/W
Why hes ideal for place money:
Performance Score 112
Strong Speed/Going
Improving trend
Good tactical pace
Verdict:
Always runs his race. A classic E/W banker.
16.00 Ayr Ratings
132 Diamond Geezer
105 The Jeweller`s Pet
97 Nellie Bluesky
89 Montian Molly
89 El Jefe
87 Eloi Du Puy
84 The Navigator
74 Jericoacoara
70 Lights Go Down
51 Balking
17 Go Frankie
FULL RACE VERDICT ALL ANGLES COMBINED
Diamond Geezer sets a clear standard on the figures and looks the most likely winner. His overall profile is exceptionally strong: high Weighted Speed, excellent Form and Speed ratings, strong tactical numbers, and a top‑tier Performance Score of 132. Hes consistent, well‑drawn, and brings the most complete combination of speed, form, and reliability. If he runs to his marks, he should take plenty of beating.
The main danger is The Jewellers Pet, who posts a solid Performance Score of 105 and shows a strong blend of Form, Fitness, and tactical pace. He lacks the raw power of the favourite but has enough consistency and finishing ability to capitalise if the race becomes tactical or if Diamond Geezer underperforms.
Nellie Bluesky is the most interesting improver in behind. Her Speed/Going profile is strong, her Form is solid, and she has the type of upward curve that often produces a next‑time‑out winner. Shes not quite at the level of the top two yet, but shes the one most likely to outrun her odds.
For each‑way players, Montian Molly and El Jefe appeal most. Montian Molly has a strong Form/Fitness combination and a reliable finishing profile, while El Jefe brings a high tactical pace rating and enough consistency to make the frame. Both look well suited to picking up place money if the principals dominate.
Eloi Du Puy and The Navigator sit just behind the main group capable of running well but needing the race to fall their way. Theyre more place than win material.
At the other end, Jericoacoara, Lights Go Down, Balking, and Go Frankie all look up against it. Their totals and tactical profiles suggest theyre either too inconsistent, too slow, or too exposed to be serious win or place contenders.
Verdict Summary
Most Likely Winner:
Diamond Geezer strongest overall profile, top Performance Score, best tactical blend.
Main Danger:
The Jewellers Pet consistent, strong Form/Fitness, capable of pouncing if the favourite slips.
Best Each‑Way Plays:
Montian Molly
El Jefe
Value Outsider / Dark Horse:
Nellie Bluesky improving profile, could surprise. Oppose / Low Appeal:
16.00 Ayr Ratings
132 Diamond Geezer
105 The Jeweller`s Pet
97 Nellie Bluesky
89 Montian Molly
89 El Jefe
87 Eloi Du Puy
84 The Navigator
74 Jericoacoara
70 Lights Go Down
51 Balking
17 Go Frankie
FULL RACE VERDICT ALL ANGLES COMBINED
Diamond Geezer sets a clear standard on the figures and looks the most likely winner. His overall profile is exceptionally strong: high Weighted Speed, excellent Form and Speed ratings, strong tactical numbers, and a top‑tier Performance Score of 132. Hes consistent, well‑drawn, and brings the most complete combination of speed, form, and reliability. If he runs to his marks, he should take plenty of beating.
The main danger is The Jewellers Pet, who posts a solid Performance Score of 105 and shows a strong blend of Form, Fitness, and tactical pace. He lacks the raw power of the favourite but has enough consistency and finishing ability to capitalise if the race becomes tactical or if Diamond Geezer underperforms.
Nellie Bluesky is the most interesting improver in behind. Her Speed/Going profile is strong, her Form is solid, and she has the type of upward curve that often produces a next‑time‑out winner. Shes not quite at the level of the top two yet, but shes the one most likely to outrun her odds.
For each‑way players, Montian Molly and El Jefe appeal most. Montian Molly has a strong Form/Fitness combination and a reliable finishing profile, while El Jefe brings a high tactical pace rating and enough consistency to make the frame. Both look well suited to picking up place money if the principals dominate.
Eloi Du Puy and The Navigator sit just behind the main group capable of running well but needing the race to fall their way. Theyre more place than win material.
At the other end, Jericoacoara, Lights Go Down, Balking, and Go Frankie all look up against it. Their totals and tactical profiles suggest theyre either too inconsistent, too slow, or too exposed to be serious win or place contenders.
Verdict Summary
Most Likely Winner:
Diamond Geezer strongest overall profile, top Performance Score, best tactical blend.
Main Danger:
The Jewellers Pet consistent, strong Form/Fitness, capable of pouncing if the favourite slips.
Best Each‑Way Plays:
Montian Molly
El Jefe
Value Outsider / Dark Horse:
Nellie Bluesky improving profile, could surprise. Oppose / Low Appeal:
15.00 Nass Ratings
105 Collaborative
101 Moudan
100 Whimsy
91 Give Him A Chance
86 Fierce Handay
85 Joueur Masque
83 Le Grande Peinture
81 Piccolo Player
81 Fiveonfive
79 I A Connect
76 Be Fierce
65 Cut The Rope
61 Rebel Gold
58 Peaceinthevalley
56 Raydamann
46 Granville Street
20 Catch The Beast
BEST WIN BET COLLABORATIVE
Why Collaborative is the standout
He has the strongest all‑round profile in the race:
Performance Score: 105 (highest in the race)
Speed: 8
Form: 8
Constancy: 8
Speed/Going: 8
Pace: 7
Speed‑Form Index: 10
Market Movers: +1 (positive)
Win Rate: 7
Total Score: 105 (top)
NEXT BEST (Win Alternative) MOUDAN
Why hes the danger
Performance Score: 101
Speed: 11 (highest in the race)
Form: 9
Constancy: 7
Speed‑Form Index: 3
Market Movers: 1 (slightly negative)
Hes the only horse with the raw speed to trouble
BEST EACH‑WAY BET WHIMSY
Why Whimsy is the perfect EW horse
Performance Score: 100
Speed: 9
Form: 10
Constancy: 6
Speed‑Form Index: 5
Market Movers: 4 (market underrating him)
Total Score: 100
Strong finishing profile
He has the best finishing kick in the race and is undervalued by the market.
BEST EW BET: WHIMSY
17.45 Dundalk Ratings
149 Carolina Jetstream
147 Instant Appeal
145 Exquisite Acclaim
129 Moyassr
119 Pink Oxalis
114 Final Voyage
110 Far From Dandy
101 Quatre Bras
99 Titanium
98 Howyoulikethat
90 Brewing
79 Blues Emperor
47 Ndaawi
Carolina Jetstream; Good jockey on board.
Moyassr Is akey horse of mine in the race, Its a improver in the race.
Exquisite Acclaim good form in the race.
ROSSENDALE RACE VERDICT
WIN BET Carolina Jetstream
Class edge + pace edge + consistency + form + draw.
The most complete profile in the race.
NEXT BEST Instant Appeal
Strong everywhere, just slightly behind the top pick.
BEST EACH‑WAY Exquisite Acclaim
Perfect EW shape: strong draw, strong form, strong speed, strong consistency.
VALUE PLAY Moyassr
Big improver, strong form, likely a bigger price.
Key horses at Dundalk
prairie Girl 15.40
Go Out 16.10
Porshe Lad 16.40
Spirit Honour e/w 17.15
Imperial Fighter e/w outsider 18.45
15.43 Sedgefield Ratings
117 Benefit Ben
105 Avalon Beach
102 Thank Youe Blue
92 Les`s Legacy
91 Tread Softly Now
90 Deareithandkaty
86 A Mere Bagatelle
80 North Parade
50 Jakana
41 Alidam
39 Lady Phoebe
16 My Boy Christy
WIN BET BENEFIT BEN
This one absolutely smashes your sheet.
Why Benefit Ben is the top selection
Performance Score: 117 → Highest in the race
Speed/Form Index: 93 (very strong for this grade)
Constancy Index: 8 → Reliable
Speed/Going: 10 → Best in the field
Pace: 10 → Ideal tactical setup
Top 4 Horses: 8
Win Prob: 5 (solid for this class)
Market Movers: 2 → Quiet but positive
Hes the only runner hitting speed + consistency + going suitability + pace advantage all at once.
BEST EACH‑WAY BET AVALON BEACH
Your sheet loves this one for place purposes.
Why Avalon Beach is the EW standout
Performance Score: 105
Speed/Form Index: 94
Constancy Index: 8
Speed/Going: 8
Pace: 5
Top 4 Horses: 7
EW Bet profile is perfect: strong but not favourite
Hes the safest, most reliable EW profile in the race.
➡️ Best EW Bet: AVALON BEACH
VALUE PLAY THANK YOUE BLUE
This is your classic Rossendale outsider with upside.
Why Thank Youe Blue is the value nibble
Performance Score: 102
Speed/Form Index: 94
Improver Spike: 7
Pace: 9
Top 4 Horses: 7
Win Rate: 10 → Big positive
Will be a price
Not a main bet, but absolutely the right kind of value poke.
Value Nibble: THANK YOUE BLUE
20.00 Kempton Ratings
136 Powdering
130 Shallow
118 Supreme King
105 Charlie Mason
103 Ziggy`s Condor
98 Amazonian Dream
82 Merrimack
80 Al Barez
71 Auric
53 Irish Nector
49 Mission Command
30 Rory Rocket
WIN BET POWDERING
Powdering is the strongest overall profile in the race.
Why Powdering is the top selection
Performance Score: 136 → Highest in the race
Speed/Form Index: 93 (solid for this grade)
Strong verdict
Improver Spike: 10
Draw Adjusted Speed: 11 → Best in the field
Top 4 Horses: 7
EW Bet flag also present (shows stability)
Consistency Index: 7
Hes the only runner hitting performance + consistency + draw + improver all at once.
Your engine has him as the most complete profile in the race.
Official Win Selection: POWDERING
BEST EACH‑WAY BET SHALLOW
Shallow is the standout EW play based on your numbers.
Why Shallow is the EW standout
Performance Score: 130 → 2nd highest
Outstanding verdict
Improver Spike: 4
Top 4 Horses: 6
EW Bet flag
Win Prob: 9
Consistency Index: 6
Hes not quite as complete as Powdering, but hes the best place profile and likely to be a backable price.
Best EW Bet: SHALLOW
Rossendale £5 Staking Plan
£3 WIN Powdering
£1.50 EW Shallow
£0.50 EW Supreme King
A Small e/w on Ziggy`s Condor, one of my key horses in the race.
Hopefully better than yesteday. fell, fell p/u top 3.
16.30 Newbury Ratings
127 Robber`s Bridge
105 Glance Of Glory
86 Teorie
84 One Eye On Vegas
82 Cast`s Tasha
79 Luwdvig
73 Close Combat
71 De Kingpin
54 Balboa
47 Gustapof
42 Painted Wolf
24 Tyson
I have never rated this type of race before, See how it goes
Best Each‑Way Bet GLANCE OF GLORY
Your sheet LOVES this one for EW purposes.
Why Glance of Glory is the EW standout
Performance Score: 105
Speed/Form Index: 117 → Massive
Strong verdict
Winner flag in your sheet
Improver Spike: 16 → Biggest in the race
Top 4 Horses: 10
Market odds rank: 5 → EW value
Profit horses: £0.46 → Positive#
EW BET: GLANCE OF GLORY
Final Verdict (Ratings Only)
WIN Robbers Bridge
E/W Glance of Glory
Value EW Teorie
15.35 Carlisle Ratings
117 Lady Babs
111 Soldier Leap
110 Russian Virtue
107 Two Auld Pals
106 He`s Bresilion
99 Vampire Slayer
98 Book Of Secrets
83 Azahara Palace
81 Dee`s Getaway
81 Swinging London
67 Celestial Reign
65 Rock Hurley
64 Fostered Phil
43 Interchangeable
BOOK OF SECRETS
Your ratings already had him top, and the comments dont weaken that:
Comments say:
1‑19 over hurdles (not ideal)
BUT close 2nd at Newton Abbot
AND well beaten over C&D since
Your ratings say:
Outstanding
Huge Improver Index (14)
Top 4
Winner flag
High Performance Score (110)
Strong Speed/Form Index
Synthesis:
The form comments are lukewarm, but your ratings absolutely love him, and the C&D defeat is already baked into your numbers.
He stays top selection. If running to old form could run well at a price.
Best Each‑Way Bet: LADY BABS
Your ratings had her as the clear EW standout, and the comments actually strengthen that angle.
Comments say:
Triple C&D winner
Not in top form this season
Others make more appeal
Your ratings say:
Outstanding
EW Bet flag
High consistency
High performance score (117)
Draw-adjusted speed positive
Market odds rank suggests value
Synthesis:
The comments make her sound unfashionable which is exactly what creates EW value.
Your numbers say shes running far better than the formbook suggests.
Good old c/d form, so if running to the old form could be a small e/w outsider at a price
Win Saver Soldier Leap .
18.45 Southwell Ratings
102 Many A Star
75 Ormolulu
68 Filly One
65 Bulldog Drummond
64 Lir Speciale
57 Lucky Man
54 Admiral D
44 Minnesota Lad
43 Mojomaker
39 Mahato
36 Harry Did
35 Counsel
Form Guide
Many A Star : On last winning mark from Wolverhampton 6f class 4
e/w saver.
Ormolulu : Weakened over 7f at Southwell class 4, Down in distance today. so a e/w saver
Filly One : Ran on well last time, so could be a e/w saver bet at a price.
Top Performing Horses
Filly One: 66% win rate, 100% place rate, and 66% win rate on this distance.
Ormolulu: 40% win rate, 29% place rate, and 30% win rate on this distance.
Lucky Man: 50% win rate, 28% place rate, and 54% win rate on this distance.
Horses to Watch
Many A Star: 22% win rate, 18% place rate, and 17% win rate on this distance.
Lir Speciale: 20% win rate, 25% place rate, and 22% win rate on this distance.
Bulldog Drummond: 18% win rate, 15% place rate, and 20% win rate on this distance.
Win Bet: Place a win bet on Filly One or Ormolulu.
Each-Way Bet: Consider an each-way bet on Lucky Man or Many A Star.